Culture Prediction Markets
Awards, entertainment and pop-culture moments.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
240-259: 26%
24h vol $364.8K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?
60-80M: 83%
24h vol $197.7K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 19 - October 21, 2026?
40-64: 56%
24h vol $167.9K · Ends Oct 21, 2026
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 4%
24h vol $102.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
220-239: 14%
24h vol $71.1K · Ends Oct 27, 2026
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 93%
24h vol $70.1K · Ends Jan 8, 2027
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Higher Brackets)
<150M: 89%
24h vol $37.5K · Ends Oct 24, 2026
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
December 31, 2027: 43%
24h vol $32K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
240-259: 14%
24h vol $31.7K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
Jay Z: 95%
24h vol $26.8K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations
Anne Hathaway: 88%
24h vol $20.7K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
GTA VI released by...?
November 30: 97%
24h vol $16.6K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
Film L: 50%
24h vol $15.4K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?
40-64: 42%
24h vol $11.7K · Ends Oct 24, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations
Paul Giamatti: 92%
24h vol $11.1K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No: 99%
24h vol $10.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?
150 - 160m: 94%
24h vol $9.6K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Grammys 2027: Best Rap Album Winner
Placeholder o - TBD Artist: 50%
24h vol $9.4K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes: 95%
24h vol $9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 31
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo: 95%
24h vol $8.9K · Ends Oct 28, 2026
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No: 97%
24h vol $8.9K · Ends Nov 20, 2026
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by...?
December 31: 62%
24h vol $8.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
The Odyssey: 97%
24h vol $8.2K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden: 26%
24h vol $8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What Pokemon cards will Logan Paul pull?
Reverse Holographic Pikachu: 51%
24h vol $7.8K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Actress Nominations
Julianne Moore: 95%
24h vol $7.8K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
"Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office
25m-28m: 30%
24h vol $7.3K · Ends Oct 26, 2026
Golden Joystick Awards: Ultimate Game of the Year Winner
Resident Evil Requiem: 54%
24h vol $6.9K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 31
Housewife - Tate McRae: 81%
24h vol $6.7K · Ends Oct 27, 2026
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
No: 100%
24h vol $6.6K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
Matt Damon: 92%
24h vol $6.5K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
140-159: 70%
24h vol $6.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Film Editing Nominations
The Odyssey: 82%
24h vol $6K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
"Klara and the Sun" Rotten Tomatoes Score?
20+: 92%
24h vol $5.8K · Ends Oct 26, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
The Black Ball: 81%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
Nigeria: 95%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
$900B-$1.00T: 43%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
1000+: 99%
24h vol $4.7K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
# of views of MrBeast video on day 4?
113-115M: 64%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends Oct 21, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations
NAZA: 85%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Sound Nominations
Dune: Part Three: 91%
24h vol $4.4K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Another GTA VI trailer released by...?
November 30: 8%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Director Nominations
Christopher Nolan: 95%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
"Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office
10m-12m: 25%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations
The Black Ball: 84%
24h vol $3.8K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
TIME Person of the Year 2026
Zohran Mamdani: 25%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
"Ali G: Who Iz I?" Rotten Tomatoes Score?
40+: 68%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Oct 26, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations
Wild Horse Nine: 92%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Mar 15, 2027