TIME Person of the Year 2026
Markets
Zohran Mamdani
- Yes30%
- No71%
Volume $28.5K · Liquidity $29.4K
Pope Leo XIV
- Yes12%
- No89%
Volume $22K · Liquidity $23.5K
Donald Trump
- Yes11%
- No90%
Volume $11.4K · Liquidity $24.7K
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $9.1K · Liquidity $26.7K
Mark Carney
- Yes22%
- No79%
Volume $5.2K · Liquidity $3.8K
Artificial Intelligence
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $5.2K · Liquidity $25.2K
Dario Amodei
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $19.4K
Elon Musk
- Yes5%
- No96%
Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $42.1K
Benjamin Netanyahu
- Yes7%
- No94%
Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $21.7K
Marco Rubio
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $712.6 · Liquidity $20.1K
Mojtaba Khamenei
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $319 · Liquidity $860.9
Sam Altman
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $291.1 · Liquidity $26K
Jerome Powell
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $289.4 · Liquidity $17.2K
Bad Bunny
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $247.9 · Liquidity $25K
Péter Magyar
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $239.4 · Liquidity $23.2K
Christina Koch
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $174.6 · Liquidity $20K
Jeremy Hansen
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $165.6 · Liquidity $20.8K
Shehbaz Sharif
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $149.7 · Liquidity $23.1K
ChatGPT
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $146.1 · Liquidity $28.3K
Taylor Swift
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $133.6 · Liquidity $21.5K
Victor Glover
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $122 · Liquidity $21.3K
Reid Wiseman
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $118.3 · Liquidity $19.2K
James Talarico
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $90.4 · Liquidity $23K
Alysa Liu
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $79.4 · Liquidity $21.8K
Ali Khamenei
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $57.2 · Liquidity $4K
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017. If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Culture markets

Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
The Black Ball: 76%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends Jul 1, 2027

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
November 30, 2026: 83%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends Jul 1, 2027

Dancing with the Stars S35: Winner?
Ezra Frech: 46%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends Apr 1, 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
John Malkovich: 94%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
No: 54%
24h vol $15.4K · Ends Feb 1, 2027

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 62%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends Feb 1, 2027

#2 Spotify Song 2026
Babydoll – Dominic Fike: 79%
24h vol $2K · Ends Feb 1, 2027

Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 96%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Jan 8, 2027

Will Drake release a new album by...?
December 31: 24%
24h vol $6.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
October 31: 32%
24h vol $63K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden: 42%
24h vol $18.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No: 99%
24h vol $16.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

