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Oscars 2027: Best Director Nominations

Markets

  • Christopher Miller

    • Yes13%
    • No88%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $196.2

  • Ben Affleck

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $362.6

  • Steven Spielberg

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $394.4

  • Phil Lord

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $930.8 · Liquidity $338.3

  • Na Hong-jin

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $911.1 · Liquidity $648.1

  • Nathan Fielder

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $717 · Liquidity $93

  • Christopher Nolan

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $716.1 · Liquidity $782.9

  • Javier Ambrossi

    • Yes82%
    • No19%

    Volume $581.9 · Liquidity $249.6

  • Danny Boyle

    • Yes10%
    • No91%

    Volume $570 · Liquidity $744.7

  • Beth de Araujo

    • Yes12%
    • No89%

    Volume $532 · Liquidity $136.9

  • Javier Calvo

    • Yes83%
    • No18%

    Volume $391.4 · Liquidity $268.6

  • Joel Coen

    • Yes13%
    • No88%

    Volume $335 · Liquidity $1.8K

  • Janus Metz Pedersen

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $292 · Liquidity $185.4

  • Aaron Sorkin

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $223 · Liquidity $288.1

  • James Ashcroft

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $207.5 · Liquidity $121.4

  • Alejandro González Iñárritu

    • Yes14%
    • No87%

    Volume $100 · Liquidity $292.8

  • Andrew Haigh

    • Yes8%
    • No93%

    Volume $81 · Liquidity $501.5

  • Olivia Wilde

    • Yes59%
    • No41%

    Volume $60 · Liquidity $771.6

  • Tony Gilroy

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $20 · Liquidity $268.2

  • Cristian Mungiu

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume — · Liquidity $677.5

  • Jesse Eisenberg

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume — · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Curry Barker

    • Yes14%
    • No87%

    Volume — · Liquidity $392

  • Mike Leigh

    • Yes17%
    • No84%

    Volume — · Liquidity $79.7

  • Paweł Pawlikowski

    • Yes8%
    • No93%

    Volume — · Liquidity $119

  • Martin McDonagh

    • Yes74%
    • No26%

    Volume — · Liquidity $234.8

  • Denis Villeneuve

    • Yes60%
    • No40%

    Volume — · Liquidity $2K

  • Ryusuke Hamaguchi

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume — · Liquidity $556.5

  • David Fincher

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume — · Liquidity $2.2K

  • Peter Farrelly

    • Yes31%
    • No70%

    Volume — · Liquidity $13.6

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed director is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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