Culture Prediction Markets
Awards, entertainment and pop-culture moments.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 5%
24h vol $415.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?
360-379: 25%
24h vol $321.7K · Ends Oct 20, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
280-299: 14%
24h vol $163K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 17 - October 19, 2026?
65-89: 54%
24h vol $134K · Ends Oct 19, 2026
# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?
60-80M: 52%
24h vol $125.3K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
60M+: 59%
24h vol $71.6K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
280-299: 10%
24h vol $60K · Ends Oct 27, 2026
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
No: 100%
24h vol $21.1K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
"Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office
<8m: 97%
24h vol $18.8K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
120M+: 98%
24h vol $16.8K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
"Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office
30-35m: 80%
24h vol $15K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
"Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office
7m-8m: 88%
24h vol $12.8K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (October 20)
East of Eden: Limited Series: 96%
24h vol $12.3K · Ends Oct 21, 2026
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No: 99%
24h vol $11.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
The Odyssey: 97%
24h vol $10.9K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
Film W: 50%
24h vol $9.9K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?
150 - 160m: 91%
24h vol $8K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (October 20)
Love Is Blind: Boston: 98%
24h vol $7.4K · Ends Oct 21, 2026
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?
December 31, 2027: 22%
24h vol $7.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
$900B-$1.00T: 48%
24h vol $7.1K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Nominations
The Odyssey: 89%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
"Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office (Tighter Brackets)
30m-33m: 85%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
1000+: 98%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Next James Bond actor?
No Bond chosen: 34%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations
The Odyssey: 94%
24h vol $4.4K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Nominations
God is Shy: 70%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
#2 US Spotify Song 2026
"Song AW": 50%
24h vol $4K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1: 81%
24h vol $4K · Ends Mar 2, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Actor P: 50%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (October 20)
Placeholder H: 50%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Oct 21, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations
La Nieve - The Black Ball: 86%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
Kaitlan Collins: 90%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Nominations
Werwulf: 90%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations
The Odyssey: 85%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Taylor Swift monthly listeners hits __ by October 31?
↑ 107m: 3%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations
Paul Giamatti: 93%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Director Nominations
Christopher Nolan: 96%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Winner
The Odyssey: 73%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Mar 14, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 19 - October 21, 2026?
40-64: 42%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Oct 21, 2026
Dancing With The Stars S35: Week 6 Eliminations
Tyler Cameron: 42%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends Oct 21, 2026
Which movie has 3rd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Toy Story 5: 96%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Elon Musk: 97%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends Jan 3, 2027
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday: 57%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
Matt Damon: 94%
24h vol $2K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
October 20: 97%
24h vol $2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations
NAZA: 86%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
Jay Z: 63%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
"You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office
7m+: 100%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends Oct 18, 2026