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Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

Markets

  • December 31, 2026

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $1M · Liquidity $23.3K

  • December 31, 2027

    • Yes70%
    • No31%

    Volume $80.7 · Liquidity $2.5K

  • June 30, 2027

    • Yes47%
    • No53%

    Volume $15 · Liquidity $3.2K

Resolution rules

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX ( as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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