Culture Prediction Markets
Awards, entertainment and pop-culture moments.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?
380-399: 15%
24h vol $212.1K · Ends Oct 20, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 15 - October 17, 2026?
90-114: 47%
24h vol $202.1K · Ends Oct 17, 2026
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 4%
24h vol $106.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
260-279: 10%
24h vol $41.9K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?
40-60M: 68%
24h vol $37.3K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
"Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office
30-35m: 57%
24h vol $25.5K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?
Clay: 90%
24h vol $20.2K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
"Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<10m: 92%
24h vol $18.9K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?
150 - 160m: 86%
24h vol $18.5K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
"Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office
<8m: 62%
24h vol $16K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
No: 99%
24h vol $14.4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
October 20: 98%
24h vol $13.7K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Director Nominations
Christopher Nolan: 98%
24h vol $12.4K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No: 99%
24h vol $11.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden: 33%
24h vol $10.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 17 - October 19, 2026?
40-64: 36%
24h vol $10.8K · Ends Oct 19, 2026
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 2?
270-280M: 68%
24h vol $10.6K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
The Game Awards: Best Game Direction
Grand Theft Auto VI: 52%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
The Game Awards: Game of the Year
Grand Theft Auto VI: 77%
24h vol $8.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?
Dolly Parton: 56%
24h vol $8.3K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
# of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?
50–55M: 99%
24h vol $8K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
The Odyssey: 53%
24h vol $7.8K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner
Christopher Nolan: 68%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026?
Dolly Parton: 61%
24h vol $7.5K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
#1 Searched Actor on Google 2026?
Inde Navarrette: 60%
24h vol $7.3K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
"Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office (Tighter Brackets)
30m-33m: 48%
24h vol $7K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
"You Can See Everything" Rotten Tomatoes Score?
85+: 99%
24h vol $6.6K · Ends Oct 19, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations
Anne Hathaway: 90%
24h vol $6K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1: 78%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends Mar 2, 2027
"You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office
7m+: 98%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (October 20)
Doing Life: 93%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends Oct 21, 2026
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday: 54%
24h vol $5K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
1000+: 98%
24h vol $4.9K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
The Odyssey: 100%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (October 20)
Sacrifice: 64%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Oct 21, 2026
"The Social Reckoning" 2nd Weekend Box Office
1m-2m: 82%
24h vol $4.5K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?
Massie / Rand: 88%
24h vol $4.4K · Ends Oct 17, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations
The Odyssey: 93%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Dancing With The Stars S35: Week 6 Eliminations
Jenna Dewan: 47%
24h vol $3.8K · Ends Oct 21, 2026
"Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office
8m+: 64%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Live Action Short Film Nominations
Pale Sun: 70%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Winner
Wildwood: 77%
24h vol $3K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday: 61%
24h vol $3K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
Matt Damon: 94%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Nominations
With Tapes and Toasts in the Car: 51%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 96%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Jan 8, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations
The Odyssey: 96%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (October 20)
East of Eden: Limited Series: 94%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends Oct 21, 2026