Culture Prediction Markets
Awards, entertainment and pop-culture moments.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?
340-359: 65%
24h vol $673.8K · Ends Oct 13, 2026
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 4%
24h vol $301.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?
220-239: 25%
24h vol $119.7K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No: 68%
24h vol $58.2K · Ends Aug 1, 2027
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1: 66%
24h vol $48K · Ends Mar 2, 2027
# of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?
55M+: 64%
24h vol $40K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 12 - October 14, 2026?
40-64: 50%
24h vol $29.8K · Ends Oct 14, 2026
Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
Jay Z: 68%
24h vol $24.4K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Actor O: 50%
24h vol $15.6K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?
150 - 160m: 97%
24h vol $15.3K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?
Transgender: 97%
24h vol $13.2K · Ends Oct 12, 2026
"Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office
<25m: 56%
24h vol $13.1K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 2?
270-280M: 47%
24h vol $11.8K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?
220-239: 14%
24h vol $10.5K · Ends Oct 20, 2026
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No: 99%
24h vol $9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden: 35%
24h vol $8.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
# of views of MrBeast gaming video on day 2?
31M+: 100%
24h vol $7.5K · Ends Oct 13, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
1000+: 84%
24h vol $6.6K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 24
The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore: 84%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends Oct 21, 2026
Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in the US 2026
Lindsay Clancy: 80%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
#2 Spotify Artist in October?
The Weeknd: 80%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?
Flávio Bolsonaro: 84%
24h vol $4.4K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
The Odyssey: 84%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (October 13)
East of Eden: Limited Series: 99%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends Oct 13, 2026
"Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office
<8m: 61%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
GTA VI released by...?
November 30: 96%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
Barack Obama: 96%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 61%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 96%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Jan 8, 2027
#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?
Dolly Parton: 61%
24h vol $3K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No: 96%
24h vol $3K · Ends Nov 20, 2026
The Game Awards: Game of the Year
Grand Theft Auto VI: 65%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
No: 99%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
#2 US Spotify Song 2026
Earrings – Malcom Todd: 72%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?
Person 4: 50%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner
Ella Langley: 53%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner
Placeholder c - TBD Artist: 50%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 12 - October 18)
Iran: 94%
24h vol $2K · Ends Oct 19, 2026
How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
20-24M: 99%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends Oct 14, 2026
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes: 95%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
Matt Damon: 93%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of October 24
Patient Zero - Taylor Swift: 95%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends Oct 21, 2026
Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday: 59%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
"You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office
7m+: 61%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
The Odyssey: 53%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?
Yes: 57%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends Nov 1, 2026