Culture Prediction Markets
Awards, entertainment and pop-culture moments.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
220-239: 36%
24h vol $502.6K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 19 - October 21, 2026?
40-64: 76%
24h vol $357.6K · Ends Oct 21, 2026
# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?
60-80M: 91%
24h vol $224.4K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
240-259: 17%
24h vol $115.9K · Ends Oct 27, 2026
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 4%
24h vol $109.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 90%
24h vol $91.1K · Ends Jan 8, 2027
Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
Jay Z: 89%
24h vol $44.4K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Higher Brackets)
<150M: 97%
24h vol $18.5K · Ends Oct 24, 2026
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No: 99%
24h vol $17.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
240-259: 14%
24h vol $16.9K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
# of views of MrBeast video on day 4?
115-117M: 93%
24h vol $16.4K · Ends Oct 21, 2026
"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?
150 - 160m: 96%
24h vol $12.5K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
Film L: 50%
24h vol $11.9K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden: 30%
24h vol $11.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner
Placeholder t - TBD Artist: 50%
24h vol $11.2K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
"Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office
25m-28m: 35%
24h vol $10.8K · Ends Oct 26, 2026
Top Spotify Artist 2026
Bad Bunny: 86%
24h vol $9.8K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations
You Can See Everything: 85%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1: 84%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends Mar 2, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?
40-64: 43%
24h vol $9K · Ends Oct 24, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Film Editing Nominations
The Odyssey: 87%
24h vol $8.9K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 31
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo: 96%
24h vol $8.1K · Ends Oct 28, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
1000+: 100%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
December 31, 2027: 45%
24h vol $7.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?
Russia / Ukraine: 69%
24h vol $6.4K · Ends Oct 21, 2026
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by...?
December 31: 46%
24h vol $6.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 31
Housewife - Tate McRae: 81%
24h vol $6.1K · Ends Oct 27, 2026
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
140-159: 74%
24h vol $6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
"GTA VI" Metacritic Score?
92+: 96%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
"You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office
11M+: 99%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes: 95%
24h vol $5.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday: 56%
24h vol $5.4K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Another GTA VI trailer released by...?
November 30: 12%
24h vol $5.4K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
Nigeria: 95%
24h vol $5.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
"Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office
10m-12m: 28%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
$900B-$1.00T: 41%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Nominations
God is Shy: 67%
24h vol $5K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations
The Black Ball: 84%
24h vol $5K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
"Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office
<2M: 87%
24h vol $4.9K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
Jynxzi beats Elden Ring DLC by...?
October 31: 96%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
TIME Person of the Year 2026
Zohran Mamdani: 24%
24h vol $4.4K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Live Action Short Film Nominations
Pale Sun: 59%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Short Film Nominations
The Baddest Speechwriter of All: 72%
24h vol $3.8K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Nominations
Wildwood: 88%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Dancing with the Stars S35: Winner?
Ezra Frech: 56%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
The Odyssey: 98%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Winner
Movie H: 50%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends Mar 14, 2027
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
No: 100%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026