Culture Prediction Markets
Awards, entertainment and pop-culture moments.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
220-239: 28%
24h vol $297.7K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?
60-80M: 71%
24h vol $208.8K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 19 - October 21, 2026?
40-64: 66%
24h vol $103.6K · Ends Oct 21, 2026
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 4%
24h vol $97.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
December 31, 2027: 45%
24h vol $69.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Higher Brackets)
<150M: 90%
24h vol $49.7K · Ends Oct 24, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
200-219: 14%
24h vol $43.2K · Ends Oct 27, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
260-279: 16%
24h vol $28.3K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
# of views on MrBeast Call of Duty video on Day 1?
13-16M: 100%
24h vol $20.8K · Ends Oct 21, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations
Anne Hathaway: 88%
24h vol $20.7K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
GTA VI released by...?
November 30: 98%
24h vol $16.8K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?
Russia / Ukraine: 84%
24h vol $15K · Ends Oct 20, 2026
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by...?
December 31: 61%
24h vol $14K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?
40-64: 48%
24h vol $13.7K · Ends Oct 24, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
Matt Damon: 94%
24h vol $12.3K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
Film Z: 50%
24h vol $11K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations
Paul Giamatti: 92%
24h vol $10.5K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
Jay Z: 97%
24h vol $8.8K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Grammys 2027: Best Rap Album Winner
Placeholder s - TBD Artist: 50%
24h vol $8.6K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 31
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo: 93%
24h vol $8.4K · Ends Oct 28, 2026
What Pokemon cards will Logan Paul pull?
Reverse Holographic Pikachu: 51%
24h vol $7.8K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No: 96%
24h vol $7.7K · Ends Nov 20, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Actress Nominations
Julianne Moore: 96%
24h vol $7.5K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No: 99%
24h vol $7.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
No: 100%
24h vol $7.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
The Odyssey: 97%
24h vol $7.1K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 31
Housewife - Tate McRae: 75%
24h vol $7.1K · Ends Oct 27, 2026
Next James Bond actor?
No Bond chosen: 32%
24h vol $7.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Golden Joystick Awards: Ultimate Game of the Year Winner
Resident Evil Requiem: 56%
24h vol $6.9K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
#2 Spotify Song 2026
Babydoll – Dominic Fike: 87%
24h vol $6.5K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
120M+: 99%
24h vol $6.5K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Top Spotify Song 2026
End of Beginning – Djo: 84%
24h vol $5.8K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
The Black Ball: 81%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
"Klara and the Sun" Rotten Tomatoes Score?
20+: 91%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends Oct 26, 2026
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday: 56%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes: 95%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Film Editing Nominations
The Odyssey: 80%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
#2 Spotify Artist in October?
The Weeknd: 55%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Director Nominations
Christopher Nolan: 95%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
"Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office
25m-28m: 27%
24h vol $4K · Ends Oct 26, 2026
"Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office
10m-12m: 23%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
Top Spotify Artist 2026
Bad Bunny: 86%
24h vol $3.8K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
$900B-$1.00T: 41%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?
150 - 160m: 94%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations
The Debut: 94%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 96%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends Jan 8, 2027
"Ali G: Who Iz I?" Rotten Tomatoes Score?
60+: 49%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Oct 26, 2026
#2 US Spotify Song 2026
Man I Need – Olivia Dean: 60%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Feb 1, 2027