Κόσμος Prediction Markets
Γεωπολιτική και παγκόσμια γεγονότα.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Κάθε τιμή κυμαίνεται από $0 έως $1 και μπορεί να ερμηνευτεί ως η πιθανότητα που αποδίδει η αγορά σε ένα ενδεχόμενο: η τιμή $0.62 αντιστοιχεί σε πιθανότητα περίπου 62%. Οι τιμές αλλάζουν με κάθε συναλλαγή, επομένως αποτελούν συλλογική εκτίμηση και όχι εγγύηση. Πριν κάνεις συναλλαγές, έλεγξε τους παραπάνω κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος, τον όγκο συναλλαγών και τη ρευστότητα. Ρίσκαρε μόνο χρήματα που αντέχεις οικονομικά να χάσεις.
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 40%
24h vol $735K · Ends 19 Απρ 2027
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 45%
24h vol $333.9K · Ends 28 Οκτ 2026
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 87%
24h vol $263.3K · Ends 26 Οκτ 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 83%
24h vol $223.6K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 15: 97%
24h vol $170K · Ends 31 Δεκ 2026
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 24%
24h vol $80.1K · Ends 3 Ιαν 2027
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027: 9%
24h vol $66.6K · Ends 1 Ιουλ 2027
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $62.4K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
24h vol $57.2K · Ends 26 Οκτ 2026
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 41%
24h vol $46.6K · Ends 1 Νοε 2026
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 7%
24h vol $44K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31: 13%
24h vol $43.1K · Ends 31 Δεκ 2026
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $40.2K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No: 95%
24h vol $30.1K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No: 95%
24h vol $26.4K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova: 88%
24h vol $20.8K · Ends 26 Οκτ 2026
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 77%
24h vol $20.5K · Ends 4 Νοε 2026
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 46%
24h vol $19.2K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 30%
24h vol $18K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 31: 25%
24h vol $17.6K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
24h vol $17.4K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No: 72%
24h vol $16.1K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 36%
24h vol $15.5K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31: 81%
24h vol $14.3K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027
Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?
No meeting by December 31, 2027: 83%
24h vol $13K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2028
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 96%
24h vol $12.6K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
24h vol $12.4K · Ends 26 Οκτ 2026
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $12.2K · Ends 20 Οκτ 2026
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
24h vol $12K · Ends 1 Ιουλ 2027
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 13: 92%
24h vol $11.9K · Ends 1 Νοε 2026
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
No: 97%
24h vol $11.6K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Druzkhivka: 36%
24h vol $9.9K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
25-29: 56%
24h vol $9.4K · Ends 1 Νοε 2026
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 77%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 88%
24h vol $8.8K · Ends 31 Δεκ 2026
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Person I: 50%
24h vol $8.6K · Ends 1 Μαρ 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
Person W: 50%
24h vol $7.9K · Ends 1 Μαρ 2027
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 14%
24h vol $7.8K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Vladimir Putin: 81%
24h vol $7.3K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?
No: 94%
24h vol $6.8K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
No Next Chancellor before 2028: 62%
24h vol $6.7K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2028
Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?
December 31: 28%
24h vol $6.5K · Ends 31 Δεκ 2026
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
Kuomintang (KMT): 82%
24h vol $6.3K · Ends 29 Νοε 2026
Spain General Election Winner
PP: 85%
24h vol $6.1K · Ends 30 Νοε 2026
Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Person S: 50%
24h vol $5.4K · Ends 1 Μαρ 2027
New pandemic in 2026?
No: 96%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
Person W: 50%
24h vol $5K · Ends 1 Μαρ 2027