Brazil Presidential Election
{name}: πιθανότητες σε πραγματικό χρόνο
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Yes13%
- No88%
Volume $22.2M · Liquidity $1.7M
Flávio Bolsonaro
- Yes87%
- No13%
Volume $19.6M · Liquidity $981.5K
Renan Santos
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $17.1M · Liquidity —
Tarcisio de Freitas
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $15M · Liquidity —
Ratinho Júnior
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $10.5M · Liquidity $0
Eduardo Bolsonaro
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $10.5M · Liquidity —
Michelle Bolsonaro
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $10.4M · Liquidity —
Geraldo Alckmin
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $9.4M · Liquidity —
Eduardo Leite
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $8M · Liquidity $0
Ronaldo Caiado
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $7.8M · Liquidity —
Fernando Haddad
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $7.7M · Liquidity —
Romeu Zema
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $7.7M · Liquidity —
Jair Bolsonaro
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $7.6M · Liquidity —
Camilo Santana
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.6M · Liquidity $0
Augusto Cury
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.5M · Liquidity —
Aldo Rebelo
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5M · Liquidity —
Tereza Cristina
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.1M · Liquidity $0
Pablo Marçal
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4M · Liquidity $0
Helder Barbalho
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.4M · Liquidity $0
Person V
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person O
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person U
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person W
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person P
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Y
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Z
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Other
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person R
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person S
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person T
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person X
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Q
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g.,
Πώς να ερμηνεύσεις αυτές τις πιθανότητες
Κάθε τιμή κυμαίνεται από $0 έως $1 και μπορεί να ερμηνευτεί ως η πιθανότητα που αποδίδει η αγορά σε ένα ενδεχόμενο: η τιμή $0.62 αντιστοιχεί σε πιθανότητα περίπου 62%. Οι τιμές αλλάζουν με κάθε συναλλαγή, επομένως αποτελούν συλλογική εκτίμηση και όχι εγγύηση. Πριν κάνεις συναλλαγές, έλεγξε τους παραπάνω κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος, τον όγκο συναλλαγών και τη ρευστότητα. Ρίσκαρε μόνο χρήματα που αντέχεις οικονομικά να χάσεις.
Εργαλεία υπολογισμού πιθανοτήτων · Γλωσσάρι · Δωρεάν μαθήματα
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