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ThePolyAcademy
EL

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

{name}: πιθανότητες σε πραγματικό χρόνο

  • No Next Minister by Feb 28

    • Yes38%
    • No63%

    Volume $17.5K · Liquidity $50K

  • Gideon Sa’ar

    • Yes10%
    • No91%

    Volume $6.2K · Liquidity $42.1K

  • Ofir Katz

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $6.1K · Liquidity $29.1K

  • Tally Gotliv

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $3K · Liquidity $17.7K

  • Oded Forer

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $16K

  • Gilad Kariv

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $43.6K

  • Yariv Levin

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $35.6K

  • Orit Farkash-Hacohen

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $17.1K

  • Simcha Rothman

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $995.1 · Liquidity $20.5K

  • Ayelet Shaked

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $892.3 · Liquidity $23.5K

  • Amir Ohana

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $720 · Liquidity $27.1K

  • Person J

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person K

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person L

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person N

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Z

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person F

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person G

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person I

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person O

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person P

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Q

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person R

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person S

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person T

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person U

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person V

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person W

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person H

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person X

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Y

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος

This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Justice in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Justice will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Justice” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Justice are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Justice assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Πώς να ερμηνεύσεις αυτές τις πιθανότητες

Κάθε τιμή κυμαίνεται από $0 έως $1 και μπορεί να ερμηνευτεί ως η πιθανότητα που αποδίδει η αγορά σε ένα ενδεχόμενο: η τιμή $0.62 αντιστοιχεί σε πιθανότητα περίπου 62%. Οι τιμές αλλάζουν με κάθε συναλλαγή, επομένως αποτελούν συλλογική εκτίμηση και όχι εγγύηση. Πριν κάνεις συναλλαγές, έλεγξε τους παραπάνω κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος, τον όγκο συναλλαγών και τη ρευστότητα. Ρίσκαρε μόνο χρήματα που αντέχεις οικονομικά να χάσεις.

Εργαλεία υπολογισμού πιθανοτήτων · Γλωσσάρι · Δωρεάν μαθήματα

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