Next French Presidential Election
{name}: πιθανότητες σε πραγματικό χρόνο
Ségolène Royal
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $7M · Liquidity $116K
Olivier Faure
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $6.4M · Liquidity $105.9K
Mathilde Panot
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $6.4M · Liquidity $612K
François Asselineau
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $6.3M · Liquidity $411.8K
Xavier Bertrand
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $6.2M · Liquidity $722.2K
François Bayrou
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.9M · Liquidity $625.3K
Yaël Braun-Pivet
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.8M · Liquidity $465.4K
Élisabeth Borne
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.5M · Liquidity $610.1K
Michel Barnier
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.3M · Liquidity $599.1K
Manuel Bompard
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.2M · Liquidity $236K
Clémentine Autain
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5M · Liquidity $609.5K
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.9M · Liquidity $428.4K
Carole Delga
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.7M · Liquidity $617.8K
David Lisnard
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volume $4.7M · Liquidity $325.3K
François Ruffin
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.7M · Liquidity $370.5K
Marine Tondelier
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.5M · Liquidity $966K
Fabien Roussel
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.3M · Liquidity $508.2K
Clémence Guetté
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.2M · Liquidity $630.9K
Valérie Pécresse
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.1M · Liquidity $614K
Laurent Wauquiez
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $3.7M · Liquidity $569.1K
Marine Le Pen
- Yes42%
- No58%
Volume $3.6M · Liquidity $520.4K
Gabriel Attal
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $3M · Liquidity $266K
Éric Zemmour
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.9M · Liquidity $305.2K
Bruno Retailleau
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.8M · Liquidity $328.6K
Jordan Bardella
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.7M · Liquidity $228.7K
Sarah Knafo
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.5M · Liquidity $257.2K
Dominique de Villepin
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.5M · Liquidity $289.8K
Bernard Cazeneuve
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.4M · Liquidity $185.4K
François Hollande
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $2.4M · Liquidity $188.8K
Juan Branco
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.4M · Liquidity $125.1K
Raphaël Glucksmann
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.3M · Liquidity $393.8K
Édouard Philippe
- Yes22%
- No79%
Volume $2.2M · Liquidity $290K
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
- Yes12%
- No89%
Volume $2.2M · Liquidity $496.5K
Gérald Darmanin
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.1M · Liquidity $362.7K
Sébastien Lecornu
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.1M · Liquidity $258.6K
Jean Castex
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.9M · Liquidity $133K
François Baroin
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.4M · Liquidity $41.7K
Karim Bouamrane
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.2M · Liquidity $982.1K
Christine Lagarde
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $902.9K · Liquidity $170.9K
Yannick Jadot
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $750.5K · Liquidity $541.7K
Marion Maréchal
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $489.7K · Liquidity $456K
Lucie Castets
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $423.8K · Liquidity $543.3K
Person CO
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AR
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BO
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CJ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CN
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CL
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AU
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AN
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AQ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CQ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CK
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person M
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person N
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person O
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person P
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Q
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person R
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person U
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person V
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person W
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person X
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Y
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Z
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AA
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AD
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AE
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AF
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AG
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AI
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AJ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AO
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AP
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BV
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AH
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BZ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BL
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BQ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BR
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CI
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CM
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CP
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Other
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person S
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person T
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AK
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AL
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AM
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AS
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AT
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AV
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AW
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AX
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AY
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AZ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BA
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BB
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BC
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BD
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BK
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BE
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BF
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BG
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BH
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BI
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BJ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BM
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BN
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BP
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BS
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BT
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BU
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BW
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BX
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BY
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CA
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CB
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CC
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CD
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CE
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CF
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CG
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CH
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AB
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AC
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person L
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person K
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (
Πώς να ερμηνεύσεις αυτές τις πιθανότητες
Κάθε τιμή κυμαίνεται από $0 έως $1 και μπορεί να ερμηνευτεί ως η πιθανότητα που αποδίδει η αγορά σε ένα ενδεχόμενο: η τιμή $0.62 αντιστοιχεί σε πιθανότητα περίπου 62%. Οι τιμές αλλάζουν με κάθε συναλλαγή, επομένως αποτελούν συλλογική εκτίμηση και όχι εγγύηση. Πριν κάνεις συναλλαγές, έλεγξε τους παραπάνω κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος, τον όγκο συναλλαγών και τη ρευστότητα. Ρίσκαρε μόνο χρήματα που αντέχεις οικονομικά να χάσεις.
Εργαλεία υπολογισμού πιθανοτήτων · Γλωσσάρι · Δωρεάν μαθήματα
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