Trump out as President before 2027?
{name}: πιθανότητες σε πραγματικό χρόνο
Trump out as President before 2027?
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $12.5M · Liquidity $394.3K
Κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Πώς να ερμηνεύσεις αυτές τις πιθανότητες
Κάθε τιμή κυμαίνεται από $0 έως $1 και μπορεί να ερμηνευτεί ως η πιθανότητα που αποδίδει η αγορά σε ένα ενδεχόμενο: η τιμή $0.62 αντιστοιχεί σε πιθανότητα περίπου 62%. Οι τιμές αλλάζουν με κάθε συναλλαγή, επομένως αποτελούν συλλογική εκτίμηση και όχι εγγύηση. Πριν κάνεις συναλλαγές, έλεγξε τους παραπάνω κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος, τον όγκο συναλλαγών και τη ρευστότητα. Ρίσκαρε μόνο χρήματα που αντέχεις οικονομικά να χάσεις.
Εργαλεία υπολογισμού πιθανοτήτων · Γλωσσάρι · Δωρεάν μαθήματα
Περισσότερες αγορές για Πολιτική

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 84%
24h vol $374.7K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31: 68%
24h vol $271.5K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
4.25%: 50%
24h vol $68.4K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027

Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?
December 31: 17%
24h vol $18.9K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027

Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro: 72%
24h vol $13.9K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No: 97%
24h vol $13.7K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by...?
December 31: 78%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Abbas Araghchi: 43%
24h vol $8.2K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No: 94%
24h vol $67.2K · Ends 1 Ιαν 2027

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31, 2026: 46%
24h vol $11.3K · Ends 31 Δεκ 2026

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
No Meeting by December 31: 53%
24h vol $9.6K · Ends 31 Δεκ 2026

Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Chiang Wan-an: 66%
24h vol $22.4K · Ends 29 Νοε 2026

