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ThePolyAcademy
EL

El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place

{name}: πιθανότητες σε πραγματικό χρόνο

  • PAIS

    • Yes27%
    • No74%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $550.9

  • PCN

    • Yes39%
    • No61%

    Volume $765.4 · Liquidity $810.4

  • Solidary Force (FS)

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $748.2 · Liquidity $9K

  • PDC

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $583.7 · Liquidity $4.4K

  • Vamos

    • Yes21%
    • No80%

    Volume $459.1 · Liquidity $495.5

  • Nuevas Ideas (NI)

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $307.2 · Liquidity $483.6

  • FPS

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $267.7 · Liquidity $680.8

  • GANA

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $229.1 · Liquidity $770.7

  • FMLN

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $197 · Liquidity $20.9K

  • ARENA

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $187.3 · Liquidity $18.5K

  • Salvadoran Democracy (DS)

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $176.7 · Liquidity $20.9K

  • Party P

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party Q

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party H

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party R

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party S

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party T

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party Y

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party Z

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party N

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party O

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party U

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party V

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party W

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party X

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party K

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party L

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party A

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party B

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party C

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party D

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party E

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party F

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party G

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party I

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party J

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος

Legislative elections to elect the 60 members of the Legislative Assembly of El Salvador are scheduled to take place on February 28, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of El Salvador as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by February 29, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. Notwithstanding the above, if candidates from two or more parties run on the same list, each seat won by that list will be counted toward the party to which the elected candidate belongs. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Supreme Electoral Tribunal of El Salvador (

Πώς να ερμηνεύσεις αυτές τις πιθανότητες

Κάθε τιμή κυμαίνεται από $0 έως $1 και μπορεί να ερμηνευτεί ως η πιθανότητα που αποδίδει η αγορά σε ένα ενδεχόμενο: η τιμή $0.62 αντιστοιχεί σε πιθανότητα περίπου 62%. Οι τιμές αλλάζουν με κάθε συναλλαγή, επομένως αποτελούν συλλογική εκτίμηση και όχι εγγύηση. Πριν κάνεις συναλλαγές, έλεγξε τους παραπάνω κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος, τον όγκο συναλλαγών και τη ρευστότητα. Ρίσκαρε μόνο χρήματα που αντέχεις οικονομικά να χάσεις.

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