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ThePolyAcademy
EL

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

{name}: πιθανότητες σε πραγματικό χρόνο

  • No Next Minister by Feb 28

    • Yes41%
    • No60%

    Volume $13.4K · Liquidity $38.4K

  • Nir Barkat

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $5.3K · Liquidity $25.2K

  • Shaul Meridor

    • Yes9%
    • No92%

    Volume $4.8K · Liquidity $27.4K

  • Avigdor Lieberman

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $27.6K

  • Bezalel Smotrich

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $10.8K

  • Yair Lapid

    • Yes9%
    • No92%

    Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $27.7K

  • Naftali Bennett

    • Yes18%
    • No83%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $15.7K

  • Yaron Zelekha

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $20.3K

  • Eli Cohen

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $711.1 · Liquidity $18.5K

  • Orit Farkash-Hacohen

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $369.4 · Liquidity $20.4K

  • Israel Katz

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $218.7 · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Yair Golan

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $205.2 · Liquidity $11.2K

  • Hili Tropper

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $196.7 · Liquidity $14.3K

  • Benjamin Netanyahu

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $194.4 · Liquidity $13.8K

  • Moshe Feiglin

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $174.4 · Liquidity $13.7K

  • Gadi Eizenkot

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $158.3 · Liquidity $13.9K

  • Person L

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person N

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person O

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person P

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Q

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person R

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person S

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person T

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person U

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person V

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person W

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person X

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Y

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Z

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος

This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Finance in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Finance will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Finance” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Finance are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Finance assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Πώς να ερμηνεύσεις αυτές τις πιθανότητες

Κάθε τιμή κυμαίνεται από $0 έως $1 και μπορεί να ερμηνευτεί ως η πιθανότητα που αποδίδει η αγορά σε ένα ενδεχόμενο: η τιμή $0.62 αντιστοιχεί σε πιθανότητα περίπου 62%. Οι τιμές αλλάζουν με κάθε συναλλαγή, επομένως αποτελούν συλλογική εκτίμηση και όχι εγγύηση. Πριν κάνεις συναλλαγές, έλεγξε τους παραπάνω κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος, τον όγκο συναλλαγών και τη ρευστότητα. Ρίσκαρε μόνο χρήματα που αντέχεις οικονομικά να χάσεις.

Εργαλεία υπολογισμού πιθανοτήτων · Γλωσσάρι · Δωρεάν μαθήματα

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