Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
{name}: πιθανότητες σε πραγματικό χρόνο
No Next Chancellor before 2028
- Yes62%
- No39%
Volume $59K · Liquidity $35.7K
Hendrik Wüst
- Yes14%
- No87%
Volume $8.5K · Liquidity $24.9K
Markus Söder
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $16.7K
Boris Pistorius
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $17.3K
Alice Weidel
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $17.7K
Lars Klingbeil
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $15K
Felix Banaszak
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1K · Liquidity $15K
Heidi Reichinnek
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $873.9 · Liquidity $11.6K
Carsten Linnemann
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $828.9 · Liquidity $14.4K
Sahra Wagenknecht
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $783.8 · Liquidity $11.7K
Katharina Dröge
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $728.3 · Liquidity $11.5K
Tino Chrupalla
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $652.7 · Liquidity $11.6K
Jens Spahn
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $528.6 · Liquidity $11.7K
Person D
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person E
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person F
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person G
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AH
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AI
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AJ
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AK
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AL
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AM
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AN
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AO
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AP
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AQ
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person A
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person B
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person C
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person H
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AB
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AC
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person P
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Q
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person R
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person I
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person J
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person K
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person L
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person M
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person N
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person O
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person S
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person T
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person U
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person V
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person W
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person X
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Y
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Z
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AA
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AD
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AE
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AF
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AG
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AR
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AS
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AT
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AU
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AV
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AW
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AX
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AY
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AZ
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Other
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος
Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025. This market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Chancellor before 2028”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Πώς να ερμηνεύσεις αυτές τις πιθανότητες
Κάθε τιμή κυμαίνεται από $0 έως $1 και μπορεί να ερμηνευτεί ως η πιθανότητα που αποδίδει η αγορά σε ένα ενδεχόμενο: η τιμή $0.62 αντιστοιχεί σε πιθανότητα περίπου 62%. Οι τιμές αλλάζουν με κάθε συναλλαγή, επομένως αποτελούν συλλογική εκτίμηση και όχι εγγύηση. Πριν κάνεις συναλλαγές, έλεγξε τους παραπάνω κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος, τον όγκο συναλλαγών και τη ρευστότητα. Ρίσκαρε μόνο χρήματα που αντέχεις οικονομικά να χάσεις.
Εργαλεία υπολογισμού πιθανοτήτων · Γλωσσάρι · Δωρεάν μαθήματα
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