Tech Prediction Markets
AI, product launches and big-tech milestones.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 27%
24h vol $2.1M · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 69%
24h vol $234.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 70%
24h vol $107K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?
Yes: 64%
24h vol $74.7K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
CXMT: 31%
24h vol $64.6K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 99%
24h vol $62.5K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 83%
24h vol $40K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
No: 66%
24h vol $30.9K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 25%
24h vol $30.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2030
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 24%
24h vol $27.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic: 46%
24h vol $21.2K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 93%
24h vol $16.4K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
October 20: 29%
24h vol $16.4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
Saudi Arabia: 16%
24h vol $16K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 76%
24h vol $14.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 22%
24h vol $13K · Ends Jan 1, 2030
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Apple: 52%
24h vol $12.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 2027: 68%
24h vol $10.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 21%
24h vol $10.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1400+: 94%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Other: 50%
24h vol $8.3K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 52%
24h vol $6.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
OpenAI: 60%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends Oct 20, 2026
Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 25%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
#1 Searched Actor on Google 2026?
Inde Navarrette: 59%
24h vol $3.8K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
12-15: 84%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
1500+: 90%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?
$3.00-$3.50: 19%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No: 96%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Nov 20, 2026
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Viking Therapeutics: 12%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
Google: 52%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends Oct 20, 2026
Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 25%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 28%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2030
OpenAI resumes training on...?
Not resumed by October 20: 83%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Oct 21, 2026
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
0: 76%
24h vol $3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Denver, CO: 93%
24h vol $3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
Company B: 50%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Alphabet: 62%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?
June 30, 2027?: 66%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1495+: 33%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$7.00+: 72%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Yes: 99%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 96%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Will Claude go down on __ days in October?
5-7: 48%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Anthropic: 28%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Next Gemini Argon released by...?
January 31: 28%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.60+: 62%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2029