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OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

Markets

  • December 31, 2027

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume $53.3K · Liquidity $276.7K

  • December 31, 2028

    • Yes17%
    • No84%

    Volume $20.2K · Liquidity $272.5K

  • December 31, 2029

    • Yes20%
    • No81%

    Volume $18.2K · Liquidity $287.4K

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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