Tech Prediction Markets
AI, product launches and big-tech milestones.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
No: 96%
24h vol $16.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 89%
24h vol $15.9K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?
$5.00-$5.50: 55%
24h vol $15.4K · Ends Oct 1, 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 80%
24h vol $13.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026: 36%
24h vol $11.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?
November 30: 24%
24h vol $9.7K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?
On or prior to October 1: 31%
24h vol $9.5K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
October 31: 24%
24h vol $6.1K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
40%+: 96%
24h vol $5.8K · Ends Jun 30, 2027
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
Microsoft: 32%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Text Arena Debut?
1440+: 46%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends Jun 30, 2027
Trump names AI "czar" by...?
October 4: 38%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends Oct 5, 2026
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?
Muse from Meta: 78%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends Oct 2, 2026
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?
Hodge Conjecture: 35%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Other: 50%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?
Anthropic: 81%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?
October 28: 22%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic lab leak by...?
June 30, 2027: 9%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No: 94%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends Nov 20, 2026
America.gov removed by October 31?
No: 97%
24h vol $4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026