Tech Prediction Markets
AI, product launches and big-tech milestones.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 30%
24h vol $159.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 86%
24h vol $131.9K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic: 46%
24h vol $115.6K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 89%
24h vol $83K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 2027: 67%
24h vol $68.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 67%
24h vol $57.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 80%
24h vol $43.9K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 49%
24h vol $30.3K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Google: 59%
24h vol $29.5K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 20%
24h vol $26.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
August 31: 1%
24h vol $11.7K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 52%
24h vol $11.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 84%
24h vol $11K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Other: 50%
24h vol $10.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
0: 78%
24h vol $10K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?
OpenAI: 60%
24h vol $9.9K · Ends Oct 27, 2026
GPT Astra 6.1+: Text Arena Debut?
1430+: 88%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Anthropic: 96%
24h vol $8.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?
5+: 99%
24h vol $7.9K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Xiaomi: 70%
24h vol $7.3K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?
Google: 58%
24h vol $7K · Ends Oct 27, 2026
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Alibaba: 58%
24h vol $6.7K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Viking Therapeutics: 12%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?
November 9–November 15: 19%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?
November 30: 85%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
No: 85%
24h vol $4.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 31%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
CATL: 20%
24h vol $4.5K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
3rd Largest Company end of October?
Company T: 50%
24h vol $4.5K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?
Anthropic: 80%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 2027: 64%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
No: 92%
24h vol $4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Company M: 50%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
AI bubble burst by...?
June 30, 2027: 20%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 34%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
Company D: 50%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 20%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
No: 89%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by...?
December 31: 94%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?
No: 79%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Marvell Q3 Data Center revenue be above __?
$2.5B: 92%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?
↓ $45: 37%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?
675-725T: 98%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Oct 26, 2026
NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 28%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
$900B-$1.00T: 43%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 80%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
$ANTH: 42%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$5.50+: 66%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends Nov 1, 2026