Tech Prediction Markets
AI, product launches and big-tech milestones.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 30%
24h vol $161.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 81%
24h vol $117.3K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 97%
24h vol $68.4K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 2027: 68%
24h vol $65.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 67%
24h vol $60.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 86%
24h vol $49K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic: 49%
24h vol $35.7K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 20%
24h vol $34.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 35%
24h vol $25.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Google: 56%
24h vol $18K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?
OpenAI: 52%
24h vol $11.8K · Ends Oct 27, 2026
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 84%
24h vol $11.5K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 2027: 64%
24h vol $11.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Alphabet: 51%
24h vol $11K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Xiaomi: 69%
24h vol $9.8K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
GPT Astra 6.1+: Text Arena Debut?
1430+: 88%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 58%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Anthropic: 96%
24h vol $8.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?
June 30, 2027?: 86%
24h vol $8.1K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?
OpenAI: 51%
24h vol $8K · Ends Oct 27, 2026
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?
5+: 99%
24h vol $7.3K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 51%
24h vol $6.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Company G: 50%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?
675-725T: 97%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends Oct 26, 2026
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
CATL: 20%
24h vol $5.4K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 30%
24h vol $5.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Viking Therapeutics: 13%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?
November 30: 94%
24h vol $5K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?
November 9–November 15: 20%
24h vol $5K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 27%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Alibaba: 76%
24h vol $4.4K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?
October 31: 100%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
AI bubble burst by...?
June 30, 2027: 20%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Will Claude go down on __ days in October?
<5: 71%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1400+: 94%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?
Anthropic: 77%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
$900B-$1.00T: 43%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 88%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by...?
December 31: 90%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
No: 94%
24h vol $3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 28%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will Marvell Q3 Data Center revenue be above __?
$2.5B: 92%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?
475k to 500k: 32%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends Mar 1, 2027
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
1500+: 94%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2027: 48%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+: 80%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Intuit Q1 Online Ecosystem revenue be above __?
$2.35B: 83%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Nov 19, 2026