Tech Prediction Markets
AI, product launches and big-tech milestones.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 23%
24h vol $206.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 87%
24h vol $158.7K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 94%
24h vol $90.6K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 56%
24h vol $69.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 65%
24h vol $53.3K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic: 46%
24h vol $51.9K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Xiaomi: 56%
24h vol $39.2K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 69%
24h vol $38K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
DeepSeek: 28%
24h vol $28.7K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?
55%+: 88%
24h vol $24.2K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?
November 30: 81%
24h vol $21K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
$ANT: 72%
24h vol $18.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 60%
24h vol $18.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 72%
24h vol $12.9K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
24h vol $12.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by...?
June 30: 31%
24h vol $10.6K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): HLE-Diamond Debut?
50%+: 97%
24h vol $10.2K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Company D: 50%
24h vol $9.6K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Meta: 59%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 20%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...?
On or prior to October 23: 49%
24h vol $7.1K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
1500+: 93%
24h vol $6.6K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 2027: 64%
24h vol $6.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2027: 56%
24h vol $6.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
When will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released?
October 26–November 1: 22%
24h vol $6K · Ends Dec 28, 2026
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?
Anthropic: 94%
24h vol $5.8K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by ___?
December 31, 2027: 50%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
Saudi Arabia: 23%
24h vol $5.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
Anthropic: 95%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?
No: 65%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?
Capital One Mobile: 100%
24h vol $4.7K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?
Google: 73%
24h vol $4.5K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
Meta: 69%
24h vol $4.4K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 84%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+: 91%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
Anthropic: 69%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Next GPT Terra Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?
1440+: 62%
24h vol $4K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 2027: 66%
24h vol $3.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
GPT Astra 6.1+: Text Arena Debut?
1430+: 88%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes: 97%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
0: 81%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Anthropic: 72%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
#3: 26%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
OpenAI resumes training by...?
Yes: 99%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?
Google: 86%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends Oct 27, 2026
AI bubble burst by...?
June 30, 2027: 21%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?
June 30, 2027?: 86%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Google: 57%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Dec 1, 2026