Culture Prediction Markets
Awards, entertainment and pop-culture moments.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 4%
24h vol $439.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
320-339: 48%
24h vol $384.8K · Ends Oct 27, 2026

Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
300-319: 21%
24h vol $110.4K · Ends Oct 30, 2026

Elon Musk # tweets October 26 - October 28, 2026?
65-89: 37%
24h vol $45K · Ends Oct 28, 2026

Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
280-299: 14%
24h vol $42K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
Jay Z: 78%
24h vol $26.2K · Ends Apr 1, 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
Film U: 50%
24h vol $22.4K · Ends Jul 1, 2027

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday: 65%
24h vol $16.1K · Ends Feb 1, 2027

Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden: 37%
24h vol $15.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No: 99%
24h vol $15.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Nominations
The Odyssey: 94%
24h vol $9.3K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
The Odyssey: 98%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Winner
La Nieve - The Black Ball: 55%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends Mar 14, 2027

What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 27)
FROM: Season 1: 51%
24h vol $8.9K · Ends Oct 28, 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations
La Nieve - The Black Ball: 89%
24h vol $8.7K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Nominations
All of a Sudden: 98%
24h vol $8.5K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of November 7
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo: 78%
24h vol $8.2K · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Taylor Swift daily view count hits ___ in October?
↑24M: 3%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations
The Debut: 91%
24h vol $6.9K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Winner
Wildwood: 72%
24h vol $6.8K · Ends Jul 1, 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations
Anne Hathaway: 89%
24h vol $6.4K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 92%
24h vol $6.2K · Ends Jan 8, 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Film Editing Nominations
The Black Ball: 98%
24h vol $6.2K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of November 7
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley: 54%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner
Anne Hathaway: 55%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends Jul 1, 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Actor T: 50%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends Jul 1, 2027

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes: 99%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations
The Odyssey: 85%
24h vol $4.9K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Nominations
The Invite: 95%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

"Avengers: Doomsday" Rotten Tomatoes Score?
70+: 84%
24h vol $4.4K · Ends Dec 21, 2026

Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of November 7
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley: 51%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations
Paul Giamatti: 92%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Nominations
Werwulf: 84%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week? (October 27)
Animals: 94%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends Oct 28, 2026

"You Can See Everything" total domestic gross by November 30?
100-125M: 46%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends Dec 1, 2026

#2 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 30)
Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA: 98%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (October 27)
Nobody Wants This: Season 3: 98%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends Oct 28, 2026

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
November 30, 2026: 74%
24h vol $4K · Ends Jul 1, 2027

#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?
Movie V: 50%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Apr 1, 2027

Elon Musk # tweets in November 2026?
1000+: 65%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Dec 1, 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations
The Odyssey: 88%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
The Odyssey: 84%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Jul 1, 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Sound Nominations
Project Hail Mary: 98%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Short Film Nominations
The Baddest Speechwriter of All: 75%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?
December 31, 2027: 23%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

