Culture Prediction Markets
Awards, entertainment and pop-culture moments.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
300-319: 26%
24h vol $309.6K · Ends Oct 27, 2026
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 5%
24h vol $132K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
280-299: 18%
24h vol $93.5K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
Other: 50%
24h vol $59.1K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No: 99%
24h vol $47.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
40-64: 37%
24h vol $37.8K · Ends Oct 26, 2026
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?
Russia / Ukraine: 89%
24h vol $37.3K · Ends Oct 24, 2026
"Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office
10m-12m: 74%
24h vol $36.1K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
"Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office
22m-25m: 70%
24h vol $28.9K · Ends Oct 26, 2026
"You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Higher Brackets)
19.5-21M: 50%
24h vol $27.1K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
"Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office (Tighter Brackets)
21-22.5M: 51%
24h vol $24.5K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
240-259: 14%
24h vol $23.2K · Ends Nov 3, 2026
Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden: 38%
24h vol $21.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
#1 Spotify song this week? (October 30)
Housewife - Tate McRae: 98%
24h vol $20.3K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
"Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office
8-11M: 85%
24h vol $18.2K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
December 31, 2027: 31%
24h vol $17.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations
Anne Hathaway: 88%
24h vol $13.4K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Jynxzi beats Elden Ring DLC by...?
October 25: 100%
24h vol $11.9K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets in November 2026?
1000+: 34%
24h vol $11.5K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
The Odyssey: 97%
24h vol $10.1K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Another GTA VI trailer released by...?
November 30: 16%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
#2 Spotify song this week? (October 30)
BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky: 97%
24h vol $8.6K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 27)
Love Is Blind: Boston: 58%
24h vol $8.6K · Ends Oct 28, 2026
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
No: 99%
24h vol $8.3K · Ends Mar 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations
The Black Ball: 96%
24h vol $7.8K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
120M+: 100%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Actor F: 50%
24h vol $7.5K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?
150 - 160m: 97%
24h vol $6.6K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday: 55%
24h vol $6.2K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 52%
24h vol $6.2K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner
Christopher Nolan: 60%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
"Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office
<2M: 99%
24h vol $5.8K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes: 98%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
"You Can See Everything" total domestic gross by November 30?
125-150M: 34%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?
Russia / Ukraine: 79%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends Oct 26, 2026
Grammys 2027: Best Rap Album Winner
Placeholder h - TBD Artist: 50%
24h vol $4.9K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations
The Odyssey: 80%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations
You Can See Everything: 90%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No: 92%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends Aug 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Short Film Nominations
The Baddest Speechwriter of All: 64%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Elon Musk: 97%
24h vol $4K · Ends Jan 3, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations
The Odyssey: 88%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (October 27)
Nobody Wants This: Season 3: 59%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends Oct 28, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations
Paul Giamatti: 92%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Artist C: 50%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
#2 Spotify Artist in October?
Rihanna: 61%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Top Spotify Artist 2026
Bad Bunny: 90%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends Feb 1, 2027