Culture Prediction Markets
Awards, entertainment and pop-culture moments.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
300-319: 28%
24h vol $270.5K · Ends Oct 27, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
65-89: 45%
24h vol $130.5K · Ends Oct 26, 2026
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 5%
24h vol $87.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
280-299: 19%
24h vol $86.3K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
260-279: 14%
24h vol $41.4K · Ends Nov 3, 2026
"Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office
10m-12m: 71%
24h vol $39.9K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
"Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office
22m-25m: 95%
24h vol $30.9K · Ends Oct 26, 2026
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
March 31, 2027: 6%
24h vol $27.1K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
"Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office (Tighter Brackets)
22.5-24M: 68%
24h vol $26.9K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
"You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Higher Brackets)
19.5-21M: 49%
24h vol $26.4K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
Film L: 50%
24h vol $22.6K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations
Anne Hathaway: 88%
24h vol $20.3K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
#1 Spotify song this week? (October 30)
Housewife - Tate McRae: 97%
24h vol $20.3K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets in November 2026?
1000+: 63%
24h vol $18.2K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
December 31, 2027: 31%
24h vol $17.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden: 38%
24h vol $16.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
Matt Damon: 92%
24h vol $13.7K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
"Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office
8-11M: 95%
24h vol $11K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No: 97%
24h vol $10.6K · Ends Nov 20, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations
Wild Horse Nine: 90%
24h vol $10K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?
Russia / Ukraine: 74%
24h vol $9.8K · Ends Oct 26, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
The Odyssey: 97%
24h vol $9.7K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 27)
Nobody Wants This: Season 3: 73%
24h vol $9.5K · Ends Oct 28, 2026
Another GTA VI trailer released by...?
November 30: 19%
24h vol $9.3K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
#2 Spotify song this week? (October 30)
BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky: 97%
24h vol $8.5K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
No: 99%
24h vol $8.4K · Ends Mar 1, 2027
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No: 99%
24h vol $7.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Grammys 2027: Best Rap Album Winner
Placeholder x - TBD Artist: 50%
24h vol $7.1K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 56%
24h vol $7.1K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?
150 - 160m: 97%
24h vol $6.7K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes: 98%
24h vol $6.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What will be the top US Netflix movie this week? (October 27)
Animals: 94%
24h vol $6.5K · Ends Oct 28, 2026
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday: 55%
24h vol $6.1K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations
The Black Ball: 96%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
The Odyssey: 84%
24h vol $5.8K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations
The Odyssey: 78%
24h vol $5.8K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
What will be the top global Netflix show this week? (October 27)
Below: Limited Series: 98%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends Oct 28, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Nominations
The Odyssey: 94%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations
You Can See Everything: 88%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Film Editing Nominations
The Odyssey: 97%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Actor L: 50%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Nominations
Werwulf: 88%
24h vol $4.9K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Short Film Nominations
The Baddest Speechwriter of All: 75%
24h vol $4.9K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
"GTA VI" Metacritic Score?
90+: 95%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner
Christopher Nolan: 58%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Top Spotify Artist 2026
Bad Bunny: 90%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No: 92%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Aug 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Winner
Movie B: 50%
24h vol $4.7K · Ends Mar 14, 2027