How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 5?
{name}: probabilidades em tempo real
<20
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $15.7K · Liquidity $31.3K
20-24
- Yes17%
- No83%
Volume $13.4K · Liquidity $11.3K
30-34
- Yes32%
- No68%
Volume $5.4K · Liquidity $385.4
35-39
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $5K · Liquidity $260.1
40+
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $5K · Liquidity $11.4K
25-29
- Yes46%
- No54%
Volume $4.9K · Liquidity $299.9
Regras de resolução
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from October 5, 2026, through October 11, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Como interpretar essas probabilidades
Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.
Calculadoras de probabilidade · Glossário · Cursos gratuitos
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