Mundo Prediction Markets
Geopolítica e eventos globais.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.

Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 40%
24h vol $735K · Ends 19 de abr. de 2027

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 45%
24h vol $333.9K · Ends 28 de out. de 2026

Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 87%
24h vol $263.3K · Ends 26 de out. de 2026

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 83%
24h vol $223.6K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 15: 97%
24h vol $170K · Ends 31 de dez. de 2026

NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 24%
24h vol $80.1K · Ends 3 de jan. de 2027

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027: 9%
24h vol $66.6K · Ends 1 de jul. de 2027

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $62.4K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
24h vol $57.2K · Ends 26 de out. de 2026

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 41%
24h vol $46.6K · Ends 1 de nov. de 2026

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 7%
24h vol $44K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31: 13%
24h vol $43.1K · Ends 31 de dez. de 2026

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $40.2K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No: 95%
24h vol $30.1K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No: 95%
24h vol $26.4K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova: 88%
24h vol $20.8K · Ends 26 de out. de 2026

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 77%
24h vol $20.5K · Ends 4 de nov. de 2026

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 46%
24h vol $19.2K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 30%
24h vol $18K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 31: 25%
24h vol $17.6K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
24h vol $17.4K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No: 72%
24h vol $16.1K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 36%
24h vol $15.5K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31: 81%
24h vol $14.3K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?
No meeting by December 31, 2027: 83%
24h vol $13K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2028

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 96%
24h vol $12.6K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
24h vol $12.4K · Ends 26 de out. de 2026

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $12.2K · Ends 20 de out. de 2026

Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
24h vol $12K · Ends 1 de jul. de 2027

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 13: 92%
24h vol $11.9K · Ends 1 de nov. de 2026

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
No: 97%
24h vol $11.6K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Druzkhivka: 36%
24h vol $9.9K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
25-29: 56%
24h vol $9.4K · Ends 1 de nov. de 2026

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 77%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 88%
24h vol $8.8K · Ends 31 de dez. de 2026

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Person I: 50%
24h vol $8.6K · Ends 1 de mar. de 2027

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
Person W: 50%
24h vol $7.9K · Ends 1 de mar. de 2027

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 14%
24h vol $7.8K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Iran Nuke before 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Vladimir Putin: 81%
24h vol $7.3K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?
No: 94%
24h vol $6.8K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
No Next Chancellor before 2028: 62%
24h vol $6.7K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2028

Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?
December 31: 28%
24h vol $6.5K · Ends 31 de dez. de 2026

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
Kuomintang (KMT): 82%
24h vol $6.3K · Ends 29 de nov. de 2026

Spain General Election Winner
PP: 85%
24h vol $6.1K · Ends 30 de nov. de 2026

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Person S: 50%
24h vol $5.4K · Ends 1 de mar. de 2027

New pandemic in 2026?
No: 96%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
Person W: 50%
24h vol $5K · Ends 1 de mar. de 2027

