Next French Presidential Election
{name}: probabilidades em tempo real
Ségolène Royal
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $7M · Liquidity $117.6K
Olivier Faure
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $6.4M · Liquidity $106.1K
Mathilde Panot
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $6.4M · Liquidity $614.1K
François Asselineau
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $6.3M · Liquidity $412.7K
Xavier Bertrand
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $6.2M · Liquidity $722.8K
François Bayrou
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.9M · Liquidity $626.1K
Yaël Braun-Pivet
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.8M · Liquidity $467.4K
Élisabeth Borne
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.5M · Liquidity $611.8K
Michel Barnier
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.3M · Liquidity $599.8K
Manuel Bompard
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.2M · Liquidity $237.2K
Clémentine Autain
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5M · Liquidity $609.9K
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.9M · Liquidity $430.2K
Carole Delga
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.7M · Liquidity $619.5K
David Lisnard
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volume $4.7M · Liquidity $330.2K
François Ruffin
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.7M · Liquidity $372.5K
Marine Tondelier
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.5M · Liquidity $964.8K
Fabien Roussel
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.3M · Liquidity $510K
Clémence Guetté
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.2M · Liquidity $632.3K
Valérie Pécresse
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.1M · Liquidity $615.3K
Laurent Wauquiez
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $3.7M · Liquidity $569.5K
Marine Le Pen
- Yes42%
- No58%
Volume $3.6M · Liquidity $544.7K
Gabriel Attal
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $3M · Liquidity $272.4K
Éric Zemmour
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.9M · Liquidity $307.4K
Bruno Retailleau
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.8M · Liquidity $332.4K
Jordan Bardella
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.7M · Liquidity $231K
Sarah Knafo
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.5M · Liquidity $241.1K
Dominique de Villepin
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.5M · Liquidity $297.1K
Bernard Cazeneuve
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.4M · Liquidity $186.3K
François Hollande
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $2.4M · Liquidity $188.6K
Juan Branco
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.4M · Liquidity $125.8K
Raphaël Glucksmann
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.3M · Liquidity $396.3K
Édouard Philippe
- Yes22%
- No79%
Volume $2.2M · Liquidity $262.3K
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
- Yes12%
- No89%
Volume $2.2M · Liquidity $495.4K
Gérald Darmanin
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.1M · Liquidity $364K
Sébastien Lecornu
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.1M · Liquidity $263.3K
Jean Castex
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.9M · Liquidity $133.8K
François Baroin
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.4M · Liquidity $42.9K
Karim Bouamrane
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.2M · Liquidity $983.3K
Christine Lagarde
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $902.9K · Liquidity $168.1K
Yannick Jadot
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $750.5K · Liquidity $543.6K
Marion Maréchal
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $489.7K · Liquidity $457.5K
Lucie Castets
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $423.8K · Liquidity $544.3K
Person CO
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AR
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BO
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CJ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CN
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CL
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AU
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AN
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AQ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CQ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CK
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person M
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person N
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person O
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person P
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Q
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person R
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person U
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person V
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person W
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person X
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Y
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Z
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AA
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AD
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AE
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AF
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AG
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AI
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AJ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AO
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AP
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BV
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AH
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BZ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BL
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BQ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BR
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CI
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CM
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CP
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Other
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person S
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person T
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AK
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AL
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AM
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AS
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AT
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AV
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AW
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AX
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AY
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AZ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BA
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BB
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BC
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BD
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BK
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BE
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BF
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BG
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BH
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BI
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BM
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BN
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BP
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BS
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BT
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BU
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BW
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BX
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BY
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CA
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CB
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CC
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CD
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CE
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CF
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CG
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person CH
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AB
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AC
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person BJ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person L
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person K
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Regras de resolução
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (
Como interpretar essas probabilidades
Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.
Calculadoras de probabilidade · Glossário · Cursos gratuitos
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