Mercados de predicción de Economía
Tasas de interés, inflación, empleo y eventos macroeconómicos.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Fed Decision in October?
No change: 94%
Vol. 24h $3.2M · Cierra 29 oct 2026
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 72%
Vol. 24h $182.6K · Cierra 10 dic 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↓ $95: 54%
Vol. 24h $158.3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Bank of Russia decision in October?
No Change: 85%
Vol. 24h $120.8K · Cierra 24 oct 2026
Fed Decision in January?
No change: 68%
Vol. 24h $117.9K · Cierra 28 ene 2027
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 75%
Vol. 24h $96.1K · Cierra 10 dic 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 59%
Vol. 24h $86.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.75–$2.0T: 28%
Vol. 24h $84.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 72%
Vol. 24h $64.3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026: 87%
Vol. 24h $61.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
25 bps increase: 81%
Vol. 24h $54.4K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
↓ $4,000: 84%
Vol. 24h $41.1K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $36K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
Vol. 24h $34.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.5T: 93%
Vol. 24h $32.2K · Cierra 5 ene 2027
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.3%: 43%
Vol. 24h $30.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 5.20%: 59%
Vol. 24h $26.2K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 89%
Vol. 24h $26.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
25 bps increase: 66%
Vol. 24h $24.6K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
↑ $4,500: 50%
Vol. 24h $23.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.50%: 45%
Vol. 24h $23.5K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
OpenAI IPO by...?
June 30, 2027: 34%
Vol. 24h $23.1K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?
↓ $54: 81%
Vol. 24h $19.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike: 73%
Vol. 24h $17.6K · Cierra 9 dic 2026
What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↓ $148: 72%
Vol. 24h $16.9K · Cierra 23 oct 2026
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
<$1T: 25%
Vol. 24h $16K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in October 2026?
↑ $660: 70%
Vol. 24h $13.5K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↓ $54: 73%
Vol. 24h $12.7K · Cierra 23 oct 2026
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.9%: 82%
Vol. 24h $12.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
$1.50–$1.75T: 43%
Vol. 24h $11.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin?
24% to 26%: 95%
Vol. 24h $10.4K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↓ $4,000: 73%
Vol. 24h $9.9K · Cierra 23 oct 2026
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T+: 43%
Vol. 24h $9.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
US recession by end of 2026?
No: 93%
Vol. 24h $9.1K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.25T: 98%
Vol. 24h $8.5K · Cierra 5 ene 2027
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change: 97%
Vol. 24h $8.3K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.40%: 78%
Vol. 24h $8.1K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $7.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.10%: 43%
Vol. 24h $6.7K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
October Inflation US - Monthly
0.3%: 38%
Vol. 24h $6.6K · Cierra 11 nov 2026
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 58%
Vol. 24h $6.5K · Cierra 27 ene 2027
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 97%
Vol. 24h $6.2K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 62%
Vol. 24h $6.1K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 4.95%: 67%
Vol. 24h $5.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
No change: 67%
Vol. 24h $5.5K · Cierra 5 nov 2026
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Company B: 50%
Vol. 24h $5.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?
4.3-4.6%: 47%
Vol. 24h $5K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Bank of England decision in November?
25 bps increase: 97%
Vol. 24h $5K · Cierra 5 nov 2026