Mercados de predicción de Economía
Tasas de interés, inflación, empleo y eventos macroeconómicos.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Fed Decision in October?
No change: 92%
Vol. 24h $4.2M · Cierra 29 oct 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↑ $105: 67%
Vol. 24h $168.4K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 75%
Vol. 24h $116.8K · Cierra 10 dic 2026
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 78%
Vol. 24h $107.7K · Cierra 10 dic 2026
Fed Decision in January?
No change: 68%
Vol. 24h $91.7K · Cierra 28 ene 2027
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 59%
Vol. 24h $89.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 70%
Vol. 24h $69.9K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.75–$2.0T: 28%
Vol. 24h $67.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.70%: 60%
Vol. 24h $59.1K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.5T: 94%
Vol. 24h $54.4K · Cierra 5 ene 2027
Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026: 82%
Vol. 24h $53.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike: 73%
Vol. 24h $39.2K · Cierra 9 dic 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 89%
Vol. 24h $36.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.3%: 44%
Vol. 24h $31.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
25 bps increase: 80%
Vol. 24h $29.3K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T+: 39%
Vol. 24h $28.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 5.25%: 66%
Vol. 24h $26.5K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↑ $153: 41%
Vol. 24h $24.3K · Cierra 23 oct 2026
OpenAI IPO by...?
June 30, 2027: 36%
Vol. 24h $22K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on October 23?
$94: 99%
Vol. 24h $20.8K · Cierra 23 oct 2026
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
↓ $3,900: 40%
Vol. 24h $20.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↑ $765: 55%
Vol. 24h $20.1K · Cierra 23 oct 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↓ $90: 10%
Vol. 24h $17.6K · Cierra 23 oct 2026
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?
↑ $56: 50%
Vol. 24h $17.6K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
Vol. 24h $17.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↓ $3,800: 49%
Vol. 24h $16.5K · Cierra 23 oct 2026
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?
Down: 66%
Vol. 24h $16.4K · Cierra 23 oct 2026
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.80%: 95%
Vol. 24h $14.9K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↑ $56: 49%
Vol. 24h $13.6K · Cierra 23 oct 2026
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.9%: 76%
Vol. 24h $12.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Crude Oil all time high by...?
March 31, 2027: 24%
Vol. 24h $12.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change: 98%
Vol. 24h $12.4K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 23?
$745: 100%
Vol. 24h $12.2K · Cierra 23 oct 2026
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in October 2026?
↑ $660: 66%
Vol. 24h $11.5K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 97%
Vol. 24h $10.8K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
US recession by end of 2026?
No: 93%
Vol. 24h $10.7K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.25T: 99%
Vol. 24h $10.2K · Cierra 5 ene 2027
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
No change: 80%
Vol. 24h $9.8K · Cierra 5 nov 2026
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2026: 96%
Vol. 24h $9.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 73%
Vol. 24h $8.4K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Core PCE MoM - September 2026
0.3%: 63%
Vol. 24h $8.3K · Cierra 29 oct 2026
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $7.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Bank of Russia decision in December?
No change: 62%
Vol. 24h $6.8K · Cierra 18 dic 2026
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
5.0%: 6%
Vol. 24h $5.9K · Cierra 1 abr 2027
Central Bank of Colombia decision in October
No change: 61%
Vol. 24h $5.8K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 4.95%: 57%
Vol. 24h $5.1K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.40%: 76%
Vol. 24h $4.5K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 57%
Vol. 24h $4.5K · Cierra 27 ene 2027