Mercados de predicción de Economía
Tasas de interés, inflación, empleo y eventos macroeconómicos.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Fed Decision in October?
No change: 95%
Vol. 24h $1.2M · Cierra 29 oct 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↑ $105: 77%
Vol. 24h $128.4K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 77%
Vol. 24h $124.7K · Cierra 10 dic 2026
Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026: 78%
Vol. 24h $98.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.75–$2.0T: 30%
Vol. 24h $75.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 97%
Vol. 24h $72.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 89%
Vol. 24h $53.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 75%
Vol. 24h $47.9K · Cierra 10 dic 2026
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike: 74%
Vol. 24h $36.9K · Cierra 9 dic 2026
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
<$1T: 26%
Vol. 24h $35.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 61%
Vol. 24h $33.9K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 60%
Vol. 24h $23.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
↑ $4,500: 50%
Vol. 24h $16.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX: 65%
Vol. 24h $16.4K · Cierra 2 ene 2027
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.70%: 71%
Vol. 24h $16.4K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.5T: 94%
Vol. 24h $10.6K · Cierra 5 ene 2027
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 5.25%: 66%
Vol. 24h $9.4K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Fed Decision in January?
No change: 68%
Vol. 24h $8.9K · Cierra 28 ene 2027
Moody's or S&P downgrades France by...?
November 30: 36%
Vol. 24h $6.4K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%): 90%
Vol. 24h $6.2K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Central Bank of Colombia decision in October
No change: 54%
Vol. 24h $5.2K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December
No change: 55%
Vol. 24h $4.3K · Cierra 8 dic 2026
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - November 2026
46.0 to 48.9: 40%
Vol. 24h $4.2K · Cierra 20 nov 2026
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 60%
Vol. 24h $3.9K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
25 bps increase: 81%
Vol. 24h $3.6K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
USD x Iranian rials End of October?
2.6-2.7M: 37%
Vol. 24h $3.6K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.3%: 42%
Vol. 24h $2.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.80%: 87%
Vol. 24h $2.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US recession by end of 2026?
No: 92%
Vol. 24h $2.3K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Bank of Russia decision in December?
No change: 66%
Vol. 24h $2.3K · Cierra 18 dic 2026
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
$900B-$1.00T: 47%
Vol. 24h $2.3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%: 75%
Vol. 24h $2.1K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.40%: 74%
Vol. 24h $2K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.9%: 83%
Vol. 24h $2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Bank of Brazil decision in November?
25 bps decrease: 86%
Vol. 24h $2K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
3.0-3.5%: 41%
Vol. 24h $1.8K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
Swiss National Bank decision in December?
No Change: 81%
Vol. 24h $1.8K · Cierra 10 dic 2026
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
No change: 78%
Vol. 24h $1.7K · Cierra 5 nov 2026
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 97%
Vol. 24h $1.7K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting: 50%
Vol. 24h $1.6K · Cierra 29 ene 2028
October Inflation China - Annual
0.7% to 0.8%: 41%
Vol. 24h $1.6K · Cierra 9 nov 2026
PPI YoY - October 2026
6.8%+: 28%
Vol. 24h $1.6K · Cierra 14 nov 2026
Core PCE MoM - September 2026
0.3%: 56%
Vol. 24h $1.6K · Cierra 29 oct 2026
How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.60%: 72%
Vol. 24h $1.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
25 bps increase: 68%
Vol. 24h $1.4K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.80%: 100%
Vol. 24h $1.3K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change: 98%
Vol. 24h $1.3K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
Gas prices on October 25?
$4.2900-4.2999: 63%
Vol. 24h $1.1K · Cierra 25 oct 2026