Mercados de predicción de Economía
Tasas de interés, inflación, empleo y eventos macroeconómicos.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Fed Decision in October?
No change: 95%
Vol. 24h $2.1M · Cierra 29 oct 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 89%
Vol. 24h $95.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.75–$2.0T: 29%
Vol. 24h $80K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↑ $105: 68%
Vol. 24h $74.8K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 77%
Vol. 24h $61.8K · Cierra 10 dic 2026
Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026: 73%
Vol. 24h $32.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.5T: 87%
Vol. 24h $29.6K · Cierra 5 ene 2027
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.70%: 72%
Vol. 24h $26K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
Vol. 24h $20.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.80%: 100%
Vol. 24h $16.5K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike: 75%
Vol. 24h $13.6K · Cierra 9 dic 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 60%
Vol. 24h $13.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 67%
Vol. 24h $12.3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Fed Decision in January?
No change: 68%
Vol. 24h $11.3K · Cierra 28 ene 2027
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%): 97%
Vol. 24h $9.9K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.3%: 40%
Vol. 24h $9.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 77%
Vol. 24h $9K · Cierra 10 dic 2026
Bank of Brazil decision in November?
25 bps decrease: 82%
Vol. 24h $8K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 68%
Vol. 24h $6.3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
25 bps increase: 81%
Vol. 24h $5K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
October Inflation China - Annual
0.7% to 0.8%: 38%
Vol. 24h $4.9K · Cierra 9 nov 2026
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 5.25%: 77%
Vol. 24h $4.6K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
US recession by end of 2026?
No: 92%
Vol. 24h $4.5K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.9%: 81%
Vol. 24h $4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
5.00-5.49%: 58%
Vol. 24h $3.9K · Cierra 13 ene 2027
Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting: 50%
Vol. 24h $3.7K · Cierra 29 ene 2028
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?
4.3-4.6%: 49%
Vol. 24h $3.2K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?
30M+: 96%
Vol. 24h $2.9K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
ISM Services PMI - October 2026
53.0 to 53.9: 26%
Vol. 24h $2.7K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
USD x Iranian rials End of October?
2.8M+: 36%
Vol. 24h $2.2K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
↑ 7.50%: 60%
Vol. 24h $2K · Cierra 15 ene 2027
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.40%: 83%
Vol. 24h $2K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.0-2.4%: 70%
Vol. 24h $2K · Cierra 1 abr 2027
What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?
$407K - $411K: 43%
Vol. 24h $1.9K · Cierra 11 ene 2027
How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.60%: 59%
Vol. 24h $1.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%: 96%
Vol. 24h $1.9K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
5.0%: 10%
Vol. 24h $1.7K · Cierra 1 abr 2027
Bank of Russia decision in December?
No change: 72%
Vol. 24h $1.6K · Cierra 18 dic 2026
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
25 bps increase: 68%
Vol. 24h $1.6K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
0.2 to 0.3%: 46%
Vol. 24h $1.6K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
October Inflation US - Annual
3.7%: 88%
Vol. 24h $1.5K · Cierra 11 nov 2026
Price of Dozen Eggs in October?
$2.20 to $2.30: 63%
Vol. 24h $1.5K · Cierra 11 nov 2026
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
>5.0%: 79%
Vol. 24h $1.5K · Cierra 21 ene 2027
Bank of Canada Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 53%
Vol. 24h $1.4K · Cierra 9 dic 2026
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change: 98%
Vol. 24h $1.3K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
Bank of Japan Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 82%
Vol. 24h $1.2K · Cierra 18 dic 2026
UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
0.6–0.7%: 56%
Vol. 24h $1.2K · Cierra 13 nov 2026
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
No change: 74%
Vol. 24h $1.1K · Cierra 5 nov 2026