Skip to content
ThePolyAcademy
EN

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027

Markets

  • Yulia Navalnaya

    • Yes9%
    • No92%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $30.6K

  • Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $10.2K

  • Julian Assange

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $625 · Liquidity $12.6K

  • Pope Leo XIV

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $426 · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Elon Musk

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $290.3 · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Greta Thunberg

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $281.8 · Liquidity $12.3K

  • Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $240.4 · Liquidity $11K

  • Jimmy Lai

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $140 · Liquidity $13.5K

  • António Guterres

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $120 · Liquidity $11.8K

  • UNRWA

    • Yes9%
    • No92%

    Volume $101 · Liquidity $26.9K

  • Doctors Without Borders

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $21 · Liquidity $22.6K

  • Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume — · Liquidity $21.5K

  • International Court of Justice

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume — · Liquidity $13.3K

  • International Criminal Court

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume — · Liquidity $20.8K

  • Committee to Protect Journalists

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume — · Liquidity $13.8K

  • Donald Trump

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume — · Liquidity $73K

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the prize is awarded jointly, each listed individual or organization named among the recipients will resolve to "Yes". This market is not limited to a single winner. If no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

More World markets