Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
Markets
No Next Chancellor before 2028
- Yes56%
- No45%
Volume $36K · Liquidity $13K
Hendrik Wüst
- Yes16%
- No85%
Volume $7.2K · Liquidity $11.6K
Markus Söder
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $9.5K
Boris Pistorius
- Yes8%
- No93%
Volume $796.8 · Liquidity $6.4K
Alice Weidel
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $633.6 · Liquidity $4.8K
Felix Banaszak
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $551.9 · Liquidity $3.3K
Lars Klingbeil
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $375.6 · Liquidity $3.4K
Katharina Dröge
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $366.9 · Liquidity $3.1K
Sahra Wagenknecht
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $357.1 · Liquidity $3.4K
Heidi Reichinnek
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $352.3 · Liquidity $4.4K
Jens Spahn
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $351.3 · Liquidity $3.2K
Carsten Linnemann
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $339.5 · Liquidity $3.4K
Tino Chrupalla
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $331.7 · Liquidity $3.4K
Person A
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person B
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person C
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person D
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person E
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person F
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person G
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person H
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person I
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person J
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person K
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person L
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person M
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person N
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person O
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person P
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Q
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person R
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person S
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person T
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person U
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person V
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person W
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person X
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Y
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Z
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AA
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AB
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AC
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AD
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AE
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AF
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AG
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AH
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AI
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AJ
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AK
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AL
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AM
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AN
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AO
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AP
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AQ
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AR
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AS
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AT
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AU
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AV
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AW
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AX
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AY
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AZ
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Other
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025. This market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Chancellor before 2028”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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