Skip to content
ThePolyAcademy
ES

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Markets

  • Renan Santos

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $509.1K · Liquidity $60.6K

  • Augusto Cury

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $326.2K · Liquidity $41.4K

  • Ronaldo Caiado

    • Yes13%
    • No88%

    Volume $197.8K · Liquidity $59.1K

  • Flávio Bolsonaro

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $134.4K · Liquidity $70.5K

  • Romeu Zema

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $106.9K · Liquidity $54.7K

  • Ratinho Júnior

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $104.2K · Liquidity $54K

  • Pablo Marçal

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $69.5K · Liquidity $51.5K

  • Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $66.3K · Liquidity $45.6K

  • Eduardo Bolsonaro

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $46.2K · Liquidity $55.4K

  • Fernando Haddad

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $23.2K · Liquidity $57.5K

  • Michelle Bolsonaro

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $20.8K · Liquidity $51.8K

  • Tarcisio de Freitas

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $16.8K · Liquidity $51.9K

  • Jair Bolsonaro

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $15.8K · Liquidity $51.3K

  • Camilo Santana

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $13.1K · Liquidity $55K

  • Geraldo Alckmin

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $11.8K · Liquidity $54.2K

  • Aldo Rebelo

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $9.9K · Liquidity $54.2K

  • Eduardo Leite

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $9.4K · Liquidity $55.4K

  • Tereza Cristina

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $54.4K

  • Helder Barbalho

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $54.2K

  • Person O

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person P

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Q

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person R

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person S

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person T

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person U

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person V

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person W

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person X

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Y

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Z

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g.,

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

More Politics markets