Skip to content
ThePolyAcademy
ES

São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place

Markets

  • Marina Silva

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $38.7K · Liquidity $56.2K

  • André do Prado

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $20.6K · Liquidity $39.2K

  • Simone Tebet

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $17.8K · Liquidity $19.4K

  • Guilherme Derrite

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $10.3K · Liquidity $17.9K

  • Salles

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $9.3K · Liquidity $15.8K

  • Weller Gonçalves

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $813 · Liquidity $14.7K

  • Petter Maahs

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $756.7 · Liquidity $12.2K

  • William Teixeira

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $685.7 · Liquidity $12.4K

  • Marcio Alves

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $652.2 · Liquidity $14.7K

  • Soninha Francine

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $608.2 · Liquidity $12.1K

  • Ednelson Cesaretti

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $579.6 · Liquidity $12.3K

  • Geraldo Rufino

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $528.3 · Liquidity $14.7K

  • Dra. Eliana Ferreira

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $457.2 · Liquidity $12.2K

  • Maíra de Souza

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $406.2 · Liquidity $11.7K

  • Candidate A

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate B

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate C

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate D

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate E

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate F

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate G

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate H

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate I

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate J

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate K

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate L

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate N

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate O

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate P

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate Q

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate R

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate S

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate T

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate U

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate V

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate W

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate X

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate Y

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate Z

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

More Politics markets