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Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

Markets

  • July 15

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.6M · Liquidity —

  • September 30

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.5M · Liquidity $49.6K

  • December 31

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume $953.5K · Liquidity $106.3K

  • June 30, 2027

    • Yes39%
    • No62%

    Volume $71.1K · Liquidity $30.6K

  • March 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $27K · Liquidity —

  • February 28

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $15.1K · Liquidity —

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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