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Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

Markets

  • Nir Barkat

    • Yes13%
    • No88%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $719.1

  • Bezalel Smotrich

    • Yes24%
    • No77%

    Volume $906.1 · Liquidity $710.8

  • No Next Minister by Feb 28

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $436 · Liquidity $241.3

  • Avigdor Lieberman

    • Yes27%
    • No74%

    Volume $211.5 · Liquidity $252

  • Yair Lapid

    • Yes17%
    • No84%

    Volume $106.3 · Liquidity $222.5

  • Shaul Meridor

    • Yes13%
    • No88%

    Volume — · Liquidity $99.6

  • Yaron Zelekha

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume — · Liquidity $160.9

  • Eli Cohen

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume — · Liquidity $169.7

  • Orit Farkash-Hacohen

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume — · Liquidity $101.9

  • Person E

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person F

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person G

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person H

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person I

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person J

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person K

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person L

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person N

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person O

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person P

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Q

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person R

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person S

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person T

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person U

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person V

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person W

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person X

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Y

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Z

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Finance in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Finance will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Finance” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Finance are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Finance assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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