Iran Nuke before 2027?
Markets
Iran Nuke before 2027?
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $1.3M · Liquidity $78.3K
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More World markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 86%
24h vol $168.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 13%
24h vol $127.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 31: 24%
24h vol $73.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 94%
24h vol $71K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 44%
24h vol $38.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 7%
24h vol $25.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 31: 18%
24h vol $24.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
No: 94%
24h vol $24.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Netanyahu out by...?
No: 53%
24h vol $16K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 31: 82%
24h vol $181.4K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 88%
24h vol $4K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
No Next Minister by Feb 28: 70%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends Mar 1, 2027

