Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place
Markets
Augusto Cury
- Yes40%
- No61%
Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $34.1K
Renan Santos
- Yes32%
- No69%
Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $26.6K
Ronaldo Caiado
- Yes36%
- No65%
Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $7.9K
Flavio Bolsonaro
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $589.2 · Liquidity $25.9K
Zema
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $462.3 · Liquidity $15.4K
Lula
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $407.6 · Liquidity $48.2K
Edmilson Costa
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $364.7 · Liquidity $22.1K
Samara
- Yes1%
- No100%
Volume $347.9 · Liquidity $19.1K
Clariana Barao
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $324.6 · Liquidity $24.7K
Pablo Marçal
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $275.6 · Liquidity $15.9K
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $181.6 · Liquidity $22.3K
Hertz Dias
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $144.6 · Liquidity $21.3K
Rui Costa Pimenta
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $137.6 · Liquidity $18.5K
Candidate A
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate B
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate C
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate D
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate E
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate F
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate G
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate H
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate I
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate J
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate K
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate L
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate M
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate N
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate O
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate P
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate Q
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate R
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate S
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate T
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate U
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate V
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate W
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate X
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate Y
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Candidate Z
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Other
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g.,
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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24h vol $79.9K · Ends Oct 4, 2026

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?
44%+: 79%
24h vol $27.5K · Ends Oct 4, 2026

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?
39%+: 96%
24h vol $15.5K · Ends Oct 4, 2026

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Augusto Cury Vote Share?
2-4%: 61%
24h vol $10.1K · Ends Oct 4, 2026

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share? (Higher Strikes)
42-45%: 40%
24h vol $19.8K · Ends Oct 5, 2026

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share? (Higher Strikes)
44-47%: 65%
24h vol $13K · Ends Oct 5, 2026

Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 62%
24h vol $2.3M · Ends Oct 5, 2026

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio Bolsonaro: 67%
24h vol $585.4K · Ends Oct 5, 2026

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Renan Santos: 44%
24h vol $269.8K · Ends Oct 5, 2026

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Lula da Silva <5%: 52%
24h vol $259.9K · Ends Oct 5, 2026

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Flavio Bolsonaro: 99%
24h vol $207.3K · Ends Oct 5, 2026

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
No: 94%
24h vol $116.2K · Ends Oct 5, 2026

