Tech Prediction Markets
AI, product launches and big-tech milestones.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 30: 97%
24h vol $111.1K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 71%
24h vol $68.6K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 27%
24h vol $65.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 22%
24h vol $63.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 79%
24h vol $56.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
24h vol $39.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
0: 81%
24h vol $32.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 95%
24h vol $27.6K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
24h vol $24.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Google: 43%
24h vol $21.8K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
45%+: 83%
24h vol $21.2K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 93%
24h vol $20.6K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 80%
24h vol $16.1K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Gemini Argon released on...?
October 13: 66%
24h vol $15.1K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 28%
24h vol $14.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2027: 61%
24h vol $14.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Gemini Argon released by...?
November 30: 98%
24h vol $14.1K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Google: 54%
24h vol $11.7K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 77%
24h vol $11.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 27%
24h vol $10.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 86%
24h vol $8.6K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
No: 90%
24h vol $8.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Company B: 50%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
OpenAI: 60%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends Oct 20, 2026
Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
40%+: 79%
24h vol $6.9K · Ends Jun 30, 2027
Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Microsoft: 33%
24h vol $6.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in the US 2026
Lindsay Clancy: 80%
24h vol $6.8K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 23%
24h vol $6.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+: 77%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Perplexity AI: 11%
24h vol $5.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1400+: 96%
24h vol $5.4K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
Google: 51%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends Oct 20, 2026
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 55%
24h vol $4.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 1: 90%
24h vol $4.7K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
Google: 72%
24h vol $4.7K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 67%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
Anthropic: 90%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Yes: 92%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 23%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Anthropic lab leak by...?
June 30, 2027: 8%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
Hodge Conjecture: 31%
24h vol $3.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?
1480+: 83%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Jun 30, 2027
Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by October 31: 89%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?
Person 11: 50%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?
Dolly Parton: 62%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
December 31: 35%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Longest GitHub critical incident in October?
3-6 hours: 50%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
OpenAI resumes training by...?
October 31: 54%
24h vol $3K · Ends Nov 1, 2026