Skip to content
ThePolyAcademy
ES

Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

Markets

  • March 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $234.3K · Liquidity —

  • December 31

    • Yes12%
    • No89%

    Volume $67K · Liquidity $5.5K

  • October 31

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $30.4K · Liquidity $14.5K

  • September 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity —

Resolution rules

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

More Politics markets