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Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Markets

  • June 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.1M · Liquidity —

  • December 31

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $709K · Liquidity $31.3K

  • March 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $421.3K · Liquidity —

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cuba’s current leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, Díaz-Canel will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise ceases to hold (or is publicly reported to be unable to perform the duties of) the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba, which is widely regarded as Cuba’s top political post, within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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