Economy Prediction Markets
Interest rates, inflation, jobs data and macro events.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Fed Decision in October?
No change: 76%
24h vol $5.3M · Ends Oct 29, 2026
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 79%
24h vol $299K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 82%
24h vol $123.4K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↓ $90: 72%
24h vol $122.4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 68%
24h vol $115.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.5T: 84%
24h vol $106.5K · Ends Jan 5, 2027
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.75–$2.0T: 28%
24h vol $101.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Fed Decision in January?
No change: 56%
24h vol $76.3K · Ends Jan 28, 2027
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 88%
24h vol $75.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026: 75%
24h vol $53.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Crude Oil all time high by...?
March 31, 2027: 19%
24h vol $52.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 97%
24h vol $51.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 88%
24h vol $48.6K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
↑ $4,200: 74%
24h vol $41.9K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $55: 57%
24h vol $40.6K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike: 63%
24h vol $39.5K · Ends Dec 9, 2026
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.4%: 37%
24h vol $26.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?
↑ $58: 65%
24h vol $25.9K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $90: 26%
24h vol $24.9K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
↑ $4,500: 50%
24h vol $23K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 5.20%: 40%
24h vol $19.9K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 96%
24h vol $19.2K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No: 94%
24h vol $17.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $4,200: 39%
24h vol $14.6K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%: 53%
24h vol $14.5K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
↓ $760: 70%
24h vol $14.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting: 51%
24h vol $13.9K · Ends Jan 29, 2028
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T+: 52%
24h vol $13.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 47%
24h vol $12.9K · Ends Jan 27, 2027
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $765: 74%
24h vol $12.3K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 82%
24h vol $11.5K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $170: 84%
24h vol $11.4K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $216: 59%
24h vol $11.1K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $100: 77%
24h vol $10.9K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $56: 95%
24h vol $10.8K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 79%
24h vol $10.4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in October 2026?
↓ $156: 95%
24h vol $10.4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.10%: 80%
24h vol $10.3K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $730: 80%
24h vol $10.1K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change: 93%
24h vol $10.1K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 78%
24h vol $9.6K · Ends Nov 4, 2026
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.7%: 18%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change: 79%
24h vol $9K · Ends Oct 28, 2026
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in October 2026?
↓ $216: 83%
24h vol $8.9K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX: 51%
24h vol $8.7K · Ends Jan 2, 2027
What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $198: 90%
24h vol $8.5K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
SpaceX (SPCX) closes week of Oct 12 at ___?
$150-$155: 26%
24h vol $8.3K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $345: 89%
24h vol $8.1K · Ends Oct 16, 2026