Economy Prediction Markets
Interest rates, inflation, jobs data and macro events.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.7%: 23%
24h vol $5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?
December 31: 17%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 78%
24h vol $4K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
USD x Iranian rials End of September? (Higher Strikes)
2.5 to 2.8M: 93%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends Sep 30, 2026
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.10%: 87%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?
No: 92%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Oct 1, 2026
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
No change: 93%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Nov 5, 2026
2nd Largest Company end of September?
Apple: 100%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Oct 1, 2026
Bank of Brazil decision in November?
25 bps decrease: 74%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Nov 4, 2026
Elon Musk Net Worth on September 30?
$900B-$1.00T: 91%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Oct 1, 2026
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.50%: 19%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?
<$1.176M: 99%
24h vol $3K · Ends Oct 11, 2026
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Central Bank of Colombia decision in September
No change: 65%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Oct 1, 2026
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change: 61%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Oct 28, 2026
What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
$663K - $689K: 96%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Oct 11, 2026
Price of Dozen Eggs in September?
$2.20 to $2.30: 44%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends Oct 15, 2026
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%: 86%
24h vol $2K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by September 25?
280M: 1%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends Oct 8, 2026
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 71%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends Nov 4, 2026