Economy Prediction Markets
Interest rates, inflation, jobs data and macro events.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Fed Decision in October?
No change: 72%
24h vol $3.1M · Ends Oct 29, 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 66%
24h vol $246.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↑ $100: 69%
24h vol $162.3K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 79%
24h vol $104.3K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026: 75%
24h vol $100.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.5T: 84%
24h vol $90.4K · Ends Jan 5, 2027
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 88%
24h vol $79.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.75–$2.0T: 28%
24h vol $74.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 97%
24h vol $71.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 86%
24h vol $46.2K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 78%
24h vol $41.3K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 15?
$755: 100%
24h vol $40.7K · Ends Oct 15, 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $100: 15%
24h vol $39.4K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
↑ $4,200: 76%
24h vol $33.4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 5.20%: 46%
24h vol $32.7K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.4%: 27%
24h vol $30.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Fed Decision in January?
No change: 57%
24h vol $26.1K · Ends Jan 28, 2027
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change: 92%
24h vol $23.4K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $58: 42%
24h vol $22.6K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?
Up: 60%
24h vol $20.5K · Ends Oct 15, 2026
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike: 62%
24h vol $20.1K · Ends Dec 9, 2026
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T+: 45%
24h vol $18.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?
Down: 52%
24h vol $18.5K · Ends Oct 15, 2026
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $4,200: 35%
24h vol $18K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.50%: 36%
24h vol $15.6K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.7%: 32%
24h vol $15.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 72%
24h vol $14.1K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $775: 35%
24h vol $12.9K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?
↑ $58: 79%
24h vol $12.8K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Company G: 50%
24h vol $12.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.10%: 67%
24h vol $12.1K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in October 2026?
↑ $224: 60%
24h vol $11.9K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in October 2026?
↓ $48: 50%
24h vol $11.8K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
↓ $760: 60%
24h vol $11.4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%: 47%
24h vol $10.7K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2026: 96%
24h vol $10.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on October 15?
$93: 100%
24h vol $9.8K · Ends Oct 15, 2026
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
↑ $4,500: 50%
24h vol $9.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $162: 54%
24h vol $9.8K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $212: 41%
24h vol $9.7K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $62: 5%
24h vol $9.7K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
October Inflation US - Annual
3.7%: 69%
24h vol $8.9K · Ends Nov 11, 2026
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 86%
24h vol $8.8K · Ends Nov 4, 2026
Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting: 51%
24h vol $8.2K · Ends Jan 29, 2028
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 41%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends Jan 27, 2027
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 96%
24h vol $7K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 73%
24h vol $6.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
October Inflation US - Monthly
0.3%: 33%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends Nov 11, 2026