Economy Prediction Markets
Interest rates, inflation, jobs data and macro events.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Fed Decision in October?
No change: 88%
24h vol $1.8M · Ends Oct 29, 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↓ $95: 74%
24h vol $166.6K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Anthropic IPO by __?
December 15, 2026: 76%
24h vol $124K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 79%
24h vol $78.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 76%
24h vol $73.4K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 88%
24h vol $62.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 97%
24h vol $35.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Bank of England decision in November?
25 bps increase: 94%
24h vol $25.4K · Ends Nov 5, 2026
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.5T: 85%
24h vol $23.9K · Ends Jan 5, 2027
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T+: 45%
24h vol $23.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Crude Oil all time high by...?
March 31, 2027: 24%
24h vol $16.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.75–$2.0T: 26%
24h vol $16.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX: 64%
24h vol $15.6K · Ends Jan 2, 2027
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
↑ $770: 92%
24h vol $15.1K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
In which month will Anthropic IPO?
November 2026: 66%
24h vol $13.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in October 2026?
↓ $172: 83%
24h vol $12.1K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth?
3% to 4%: 45%
24h vol $11.9K · Ends Nov 24, 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 67%
24h vol $11.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
4.3-4.6%: 100%
24h vol $10.5K · Ends Oct 21, 2026
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
No: 90%
24h vol $10K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
$1.50–$1.75T: 42%
24h vol $8.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in October 2026?
↑ $152: 93%
24h vol $8.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 5.20%: 38%
24h vol $8K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?
Up: 87%
24h vol $7.7K · Ends Oct 19, 2026
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 76%
24h vol $7K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.4%: 37%
24h vol $6.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change: 96%
24h vol $6.4K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↑ $765: 96%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%: 59%
24h vol $5.4K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in October 2026?
↑ $720: 91%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in October 2026?
↑ $216: 78%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
↑ $4,200: 90%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?
↑ $58: 91%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
No: 98%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Fed Decision in January?
No change: 63%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Jan 28, 2027
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 53%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends Jan 27, 2027
October Inflation US - Annual
3.7%: 81%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Nov 11, 2026
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 97%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
Bank of Canada Decision in December?
No Change: 62%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Dec 9, 2026
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.7%: 30%
24h vol $3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.50%: 30%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Will gas hit __ by end of October?
↓ $4.20: 43%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
No: 89%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 79%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
USD x Iranian rials End of December?
2.5 - 3.0M: 28%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Bank of Russia decision in October?
No Change: 92%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends Oct 24, 2026
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.10%: 57%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
$900B-$1.00T: 47%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026