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Will gas hit __ by end of October?

Markets

  • ↑ $4.80

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume $800 · Liquidity $1.3K

  • ↓ $3.80

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $326.8 · Liquidity $78.1

  • ↑ $4.70

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume — · Liquidity $1.8K

  • ↑ $4.50

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume — · Liquidity $78.8

  • ↓ $4.30

    • Yes49%
    • No51%

    Volume — · Liquidity $25

  • ↓ $4.20

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume — · Liquidity $56

  • ↓ $4.00

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume — · Liquidity $1.8K

  • ↑ $4.60

    • Yes28%
    • No73%

    Volume — · Liquidity $104.8

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and October 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the listed price for options marked ↓ (Low). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.907, this market will use $3.90 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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