Culture Prediction Markets
Awards, entertainment and pop-culture moments.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?
65-89: 82%
24h vol $334K · Ends Oct 24, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
300-319: 24%
24h vol $224K · Ends Oct 27, 2026
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 5%
24h vol $165.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
260-279: 16%
24h vol $86.7K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
Other: 50%
24h vol $62.4K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No: 99%
24h vol $41.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden: 41%
24h vol $41.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
"Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office
12m-14m: 48%
24h vol $29.9K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
"Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office
<22m: 56%
24h vol $28.3K · Ends Oct 26, 2026
"You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Higher Brackets)
19.5-21M: 42%
24h vol $26.1K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
40-64: 41%
24h vol $25.2K · Ends Oct 26, 2026
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No: 92%
24h vol $24.3K · Ends Aug 1, 2027
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?
Russia / Ukraine: 90%
24h vol $23.9K · Ends Oct 24, 2026
"Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office (Tighter Brackets)
21-22.5M: 43%
24h vol $23.4K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday: 54%
24h vol $19.1K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
#1 Spotify song this week? (October 30)
Housewife - Tate McRae: 99%
24h vol $18.3K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
December 31, 2027: 30%
24h vol $17.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
"Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office
8-11M: 89%
24h vol $15.3K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
Jynxzi beats Elden Ring DLC by...?
October 25: 98%
24h vol $11.9K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Another GTA VI trailer released by...?
November 30: 17%
24h vol $11.8K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Higher Brackets)
<150M: 100%
24h vol $10.2K · Ends Oct 24, 2026
TIME Person of the Year 2026
Zohran Mamdani: 27%
24h vol $9.3K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 27)
Love Is Blind: Boston: 76%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends Oct 28, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
The Odyssey: 97%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
No: 99%
24h vol $7.1K · Ends Mar 1, 2027
"Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office
<2M: 98%
24h vol $6.9K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?
150 - 160m: 96%
24h vol $6.6K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
120M+: 100%
24h vol $6.5K · Ends Oct 25, 2026
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes: 98%
24h vol $6.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner
Christopher Nolan: 59%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations
The Black Ball: 96%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Nominations
The Odyssey: 94%
24h vol $5.4K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
"You Can See Everything" total domestic gross by November 30?
125-150M: 31%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?
December 31, 2027: 23%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations
The Odyssey: 88%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Actor G: 50%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations
You Can See Everything: 88%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
Jay Z: 89%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
240-259: 14%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Nov 3, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations
La Nieve - The Black Ball: 90%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
The Game Awards: Game of the Year
Grand Theft Auto VI: 84%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (October 27)
Nobody Wants This: Season 3: 60%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends Oct 28, 2026
Grammys 2027: Best Rap Album Winner
Placeholder r - TBD Artist: 50%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Nominations
Werwulf: 90%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends Mar 15, 2027
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Tighter Brackets)
140-141.5M: 74%
24h vol $4K · Ends Oct 24, 2026
"GTA VI" Metacritic Score?
90+: 94%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Elon Musk: 97%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends Jan 3, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Short Film Nominations
The Baddest Speechwriter of All: 64%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Mar 15, 2027